Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Science

Showing Original Post only (View all)

Pobeka

(5,000 posts)
Wed Mar 11, 2020, 11:02 AM Mar 2020

updated infection model [View all]

https://imgur.com/a/E4mdzgH

I changed the model from a pure SIR model. I haven't quite got the formulas worked out (still simple), but not useful for absolute numbers. But it is worthy of relative changes given social distancing.

Important point is that social distancing still can have a dramatic impact, it's not too late. That's the message I think is key.

Looking for feedback.
5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
updated infection model [View all] Pobeka Mar 2020 OP
giving this a kick mercuryblues Mar 2020 #1
K&R Sherman A1 Mar 2020 #2
Social distancing has proven effective historically... Wounded Bear Mar 2020 #3
KnR! Canoe52 Mar 2020 #4
Got estimate of absolute numbers now. Pobeka Mar 2020 #5
Latest Discussions»Culture Forums»Science»updated infection model»Reply #0