If I believe that the probability that at least one god exists is exactly 50%, then am I an atheist? [View all]

[Boojatta]

I'm trying to rely upon the "lack of a god belief" definition of atheism.

If I were offered a chip that is free to me provided that I place it on either red or black for one spin of a roulette wheel, then I know that there's a chance of 0 or 00 coming up, and each of those counts as neither red nor black. If I bet on red and somebody else who received a free chip bets on black, then we might both win nothing.

However, if the roulette wheel is functioning correctly, then red and black are equally likely. There's no basis for believing that the ball will land on red rather than black. There's no basis for believing that the ball will land on black rather than red. If you bet on red, then you may hope for the ball to land on red, but if you are rational then that hope won't affect your beliefs.