2016 Postmortem

UrbScotty

(24,018 posts)

17. "Vulnerable" in a battleground state? Repubs need Florida or they're doomed.

Fri Jan 13, 2012, 02:05 AM

Jan 2012

States won by both Kerry and Gore now equal 242 electoral votes following reapportionment.

Add in Florida's 29 votes, and that brings Obama up to 271.

So if Obama wins all the states Kerry and Gore won (which O himself also won in 2008), plus Florida, he's in for another term.

That doesn't include Ohio (18 EVs), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13), Indiana (11), Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Nevada (6) New Mexico (5), and New Hampshire (4), all of which Bush won at least once but Obama won in 2008. Nor does it include Arizona (11) and Missouri (10), which went to McCain by small margins and could go to Obama this time. They could easily make up for a loss in Florida.

And as was mentioned above the thread, polls are all but meaningless this far out.

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Obama vulnerable in Florida [View all] center rising Jan 2012 OP

Wait until Romney picks Rubio as a running mate. onehandle Jan 2012 #1

Can you even imagine that little prick Rubio montanacowboy Jan 2012 #4

They could imagine Sister Sarah one heartbeat away. onehandle Jan 2012 #10

Rubio is not the force we think him to be SaintPete Jan 2012 #13

Just like Palin helped McCain get the women vote UrbScotty Jan 2012 #18

Maybe he should ask all those Seniors montanacowboy Jan 2012 #2

This message was self-deleted by its author Tesha Jan 2012 #5

so seniors in Montana are more in-tune with reality? DrDan Jan 2012 #7

Just that Fla has a larger Sr. population montanacowboy Jan 2012 #9

You have to question the value of these pre-primary polls denem Jan 2012 #3

No more polls bluestateguy Jan 2012 #6

What is the margin of error? emulatorloo Jan 2012 #8

NC and VA seem more likely at this point for Obama than Florida WI_DEM Jan 2012 #11

My partner and I add two votes in FL motely36 Jan 2012 #12

I think this poll is a joke SaintPete Jan 2012 #14

What are those senior citizens thinking?! FarLeftFist Jan 2012 #15

that's what i'm wondering... ge626dfil Jan 2012 #19

That poll isn't accurate 1stlady Jan 2012 #16

"Vulnerable" in a battleground state? Repubs need Florida or they're doomed. UrbScotty Jan 2012 #17