2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: How do you feel about this idea being floated? [View all]jeff47
(26,549 posts)First, this plan requires Clinton to go along with it. That's not going to happen.
Second, it's too late to get the replacement on many state ballots. Which means the only way they could actually do it is a brokered convention. Which would be massively public, and shred the party. Most of the superdelegates needed to actually pull this off will be on the 2016 ballot too, so shredding the party right before they try to get re-elected requires them to be utter morons or have zero interest in self-preservation.
Third, to even accomplish it via the convention, they need a close primary. If Sanders has enough pledged delegates in the first ballot, he's the nominee no matter what the party leadership wants. Which means Clinton would need something like 30-40% of the primary vote despite giving up.
So to make it happen, Clinton has to give up yet still receive something like 30-40% of the primary vote. Then the party has to decide to destroy itself, and then their substitute can go on to be utterly annihilated in the general election, taking many other Democrats down with them...the same superdelegates who would implement this replacement plan.
It's not going to happen. The only "replacement" scheme that is remotely possible is if Clinton has a medical catastrophe or is indicted.