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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Sanders Beats Clinton 49-49: The Real Story Behind the Iowa Numbers [View all]Gothmog
(152,092 posts)17. Iowa was a must win for Sanders
Sanders is only polling well in four states where the voting population is 90+% and if Sanders can not win in Iowa then he is in trouble in South Carolina and the Super Tuesday states http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/02/01/iowa_caucus_stakes_for_hillary_clinton_and_bernie_sanders.html
For Bernie, meanwhile, a Hillary victory would be an undeniable blow. With the exception of New Hampshire and his home state of Vermont, the Hawkeye Statewith a Democratic electorate that skews white and liberalrepresents the friendliest terrain on the map for Sanders. If Bernie cant win in Iowa, Clinton and her allies will have no problem brushing off a Sanders win in New Hampshire next week as little more than the result of the senator being a near-native son in the Granite State. Sanders, then, would be in need of a win elsewhere to reset the raceand soonbut wont have any obvious place to turn.
South Carolina and Super Tuesday will be fun
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Sanders Beats Clinton 49-49: The Real Story Behind the Iowa Numbers [View all]
UglyGreed
Feb 2016
OP
Not really.. the number of delegates in Iowa is small.. it all about PERCEPTION.
basselope
Feb 2016
#20
Maybe. Just maybe, that is the difference between the Clinton canpaign and the Sanders campaign.
pangaia
Feb 2016
#22
If that happens, it happens. But I doubt it. The other thing about her stronghold,
pnwmom
Feb 2016
#94
Only 2% of the delegates come from states as white and liberal as Iowa and New Hampshire
Gothmog
Feb 2016
#98
According to the Cook Report, Sanders needed to win 70% of the Iowa delegates to be competitive
Gothmog
Feb 2016
#19
Iowa showed Sanders' viability and Hillary's vulnerabilty. That's a big win for Sanders.
senz
Feb 2016
#55
That is an excellent analysis. I kept seeing from lots of sources that he needed to win Iowa to be
Number23
Feb 2016
#73
Great article. That seemed like a levelheaded, accurate assessment of this election.
Gregorian
Feb 2016
#42
Sanders started off with a huge SD deficit. He did NOTHING to help himself in IA.
Bleacher Creature
Feb 2016
#83