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2016 Postmortem

Persondem

(2,101 posts) Sun Feb 7, 2016, 02:51 PM Feb 2016

Today's Monmouth poll has it down to a 10 point lead for Sanders [View all]

Bernie Sanders currently holds a 52% to 42% lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire’s
Democratic primary. This is a slightly tighter contest than the 53% to 39% lead Sanders held in
Monmouth’s January poll.

And another bit of good news for Clinton ...

Clinton (68%) supporters are slightly more likely than Sanders backers (60%) to
say their vote is locked in.

The trend continues ... the RCP average has Sanders's lead shrinking by 5 points in just a few days. Sanders is still clearly the favorite but it could be close.

36 replies

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Today's Monmouth poll has it down to a 10 point lead for Sanders [View all] Persondem Feb 2016 OP

If the polls are tightening, I see a win for her in NH Iliyah Feb 2016 #1

Looks like NH is not going to be the blowout many were expecting. DCBob Feb 2016 #2

Hillary is making progress! treestar Feb 2016 #3

Progressive Hillary makes progress--she gets things done and dreams of better things riversedge Feb 2016 #29

Especially if The Clinton camp is counting the votes NowSam Feb 2016 #4

Take off the tin foil and provide some proof that multiple pollsters are colluding with Persondem Feb 2016 #8

You take off your blinders and I'll remove my foil NowSam Feb 2016 #16

haha. you re going back to National elections of Gore and Kerry? riversedge Feb 2016 #30

If Sanders doesn't keep his huge lead in NH, he's in big trouble. HOWEVER KittyWampus Feb 2016 #5

By election day, Clinton will be ahead HassleCat Feb 2016 #6

Bernie's campign is FALLING APART! I'll bet someone in his office is in PANIC MODE about now! NurseJackie Feb 2016 #7

If the NH election gets to a tie and she wins I will absolutely be suspicious. bkkyosemite Feb 2016 #9

Oh I get it ... only Sanders is allowed to exceed expectations Persondem Feb 2016 #11

I absolutely believe that Bernie won IA. bkkyosemite Feb 2016 #20

Trump also believes he won Iowa CorkySt.Clair Feb 2016 #23

The public trust is ruined. Congrats, Iowa Dem Chair. NowSam Feb 2016 #21

Yeah, but everybody hates Hillary and nobody wants to vote for her. It's true because I saw it on Metric System Feb 2016 #10

I'm not seeing it... tecelote Feb 2016 #12

Here you go ... Persondem Feb 2016 #18

Monmouth is A- rated pollster DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2016 #13

Nice addidtion to the thread. Thank you! nt Persondem Feb 2016 #14

Since she won NH in 2008 this is no surprise. jillan Feb 2016 #15

75% landlines gyroscope Feb 2016 #17

See post #13. nt Persondem Feb 2016 #19

Rating doesn't mean much gyroscope Feb 2016 #22

Oh yeah, another poll just released has it down to a 7 point Sanders lead Persondem Feb 2016 #24

And the latest CNN poll 2/6 has Sanders up by 23 gyroscope Feb 2016 #25

That's why polls get averaged and the average gap is dropping. It's down 5 points in 3 days. Persondem Feb 2016 #26

Polls with questionable methods gyroscope Feb 2016 #28

Sure. Allll those polls that show Clinton doing well must be ignored!! You're funny. Persondem Feb 2016 #31

No gyroscope Feb 2016 #32

You are actually giving yourself away. The poll you are lauding, the CNN poll, doesn't even provide Persondem Feb 2016 #33

Oh good. Clinton can follow Sanders lead and claim she won, even if she loses. Hoyt Feb 2016 #27

Bernie has 12% lead in poll with only 13% 18-34--Bernie 67%, Hillary 55% valerief Feb 2016 #34

With multiple polls released today you are free to look at whatever slice of data you choose Persondem Feb 2016 #35

I used the link in the OP. Your link. nt valerief Feb 2016 #36