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bklyncowgirl

(7,960 posts)
29. Sanders over Clinton in a photo finish. Trump romps by ten or so over Kasich, Cruz 3rd.
Mon Feb 8, 2016, 11:38 AM
Feb 2016

DEMOCRATS

I don't see a blowout for Sanders. With the Big Dog on the stump, throwing mud at Sanders, older voters who look back fondly on the Clinton years will come out in droves and that will blunt Sander's apparent strength in the polls. I look for Sanders to hang tough in the stretch and hold off Clinton's charge but it will be closer than his supporters will like unless her surrogates go to far and really, really piss off Sander's supporters.

Sure thing: 2-1 odds. Win or lose, unless it's Sanders by a mile, Hillary will declare victory.

REPUBLICANS

Rank and file New Hampshire Republicans love a rebel and Trump is their kind of guy. Since Kasich is the least damaged of the establishment candidate she should get up for second. Dudley Dooright will hang in for third or even edge the establishment guy for second. Bush and Christie, I think are done for as is Thirsty Boots.

Sure thing: 2-1 odds. Unless he comes in behind Carson Cruz will declare victory.

Longshot pick: 30-1 odds. Evangelicals drop Cruz and propel Carson into the money.
Longshot pick 2: 40-1 Party loyalists will melt at the heartwarming sight of Barbara Bush and rally to her baby boy's side pushing him past Kasich.

Win or lose

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Bernie wins. bravenak Feb 2016 #1
Agreed wholeheartedly n/t Godhumor Feb 2016 #8
My prediction is.... daleanime Feb 2016 #16
Yep angrychair Feb 2016 #38
They are not in control of our votes. bravenak Feb 2016 #39
Ok angrychair Feb 2016 #41
I do not see anybody calling him racist bravenak Feb 2016 #43
We're getting somewhere angrychair Feb 2016 #48
I swear to god hiring us is more important that saying things. bravenak Feb 2016 #49
Thank you angrychair Feb 2016 #58
I agree. bravenak Feb 2016 #60
Bernie 57, Hillary 43 HerbChestnut Feb 2016 #2
... Did you just raise me by $1 on the Price is Right? n/t Godhumor Feb 2016 #7
What can I say? HerbChestnut Feb 2016 #15
Bernie over Hillary by 6 cali Feb 2016 #3
Bernie 58 Hillary 40 virtualobserver Feb 2016 #4
Bernie wins by 10 hill2016 Feb 2016 #5
Hilary pulls off an upset kennetha Feb 2016 #6
In that case, pollsters will have major egg on their faces cali Feb 2016 #22
Bernie by 25 yet Hilarity will give a victory speech. CBGLuthier Feb 2016 #9
+1 AtomicKitten Feb 2016 #50
snort. nt restorefreedom Feb 2016 #59
Hillary +6 leftofcool Feb 2016 #10
Bernie Rocky the Leprechaun Feb 2016 #11
Bernie Sanders will win in NH. MineralMan Feb 2016 #12
When I was a kid we sometimes would go out Warren Stupidity Feb 2016 #14
I see. I'm always happy to see kids on my lawn. MineralMan Feb 2016 #18
When Clinton won NH in 08 it made no difference. gyroscope Feb 2016 #20
GE? She didn't run in the GE kennetha Feb 2016 #25
Thanks for correction gyroscope Feb 2016 #28
Sanders by 10. Warren Stupidity Feb 2016 #13
Bernie by 5 Armstead Feb 2016 #17
Hillary wins by a hair. MoonRiver Feb 2016 #19
hope you are right kennetha Feb 2016 #30
And that would be so sweet! MoonRiver Feb 2016 #36
Sanders by 6. Senator Tankerbell Feb 2016 #21
54-46 is a difference of 8 HerbChestnut Feb 2016 #46
OOPS! Senator Tankerbell Feb 2016 #47
I'd be surprised if Hillary wins. NurseJackie Feb 2016 #23
split the delegates. stonecutter357 Feb 2016 #24
You picked my numbers! elias49 Feb 2016 #26
Sanders by 10-12 . DaGimpster Feb 2016 #27
Sanders over Clinton in a photo finish. Trump romps by ten or so over Kasich, Cruz 3rd. bklyncowgirl Feb 2016 #29
Sanders enid602 Feb 2016 #31
Bernie by 8...nt SidDithers Feb 2016 #32
GMTA DFW Feb 2016 #33
Bernie HillDawg Feb 2016 #34
Sanders. LWolf Feb 2016 #35
Sanders SheenaR Feb 2016 #37
Bernie 58 Clinton 42 ram2008 Feb 2016 #40
Bernie Sanders will win... Tarc Feb 2016 #42
Bernie by four. TwilightGardener Feb 2016 #44
Bernie by 5. H2O Man Feb 2016 #45
Virtual Tie firebrand80 Feb 2016 #51
I will go out on a limb Bernie wins big (better than +12) and Trump comes in 2nd awake Feb 2016 #52
Bernie will place next to last. Alfresco Feb 2016 #53
I take it you think Nate Silver is full of shit cali Feb 2016 #56
You don't think Bernie will place next to last? Alfresco Feb 2016 #62
Did my prediction confuse you? Alfresco Feb 2016 #66
:-)) DUH... Alfresco Feb 2016 #68
Sanders 55% to Clinton 45%... hoosierlib Feb 2016 #54
HRC closes the gap. Sanders wins handily. Bubba and HRC proclaim victory. mikehiggins Feb 2016 #55
Bernie wins by 9, but they split the delegate count evenly. nt ProudToBeLiberal Feb 2016 #57
bernie by 12+ restorefreedom Feb 2016 #65
Clinton 50.01%, Sanders 49.09% Comeback Kid! Cheese Sandwich Feb 2016 #61
Hmmm... Bernie 59-39-2 Fearless Feb 2016 #63
Looks like you're going to be the winner :) ram2008 Feb 2016 #73
We did well, but the voters of NH did much much better! Fearless Feb 2016 #74
Yeah, I think Bernie 57, HRC 42 and change alcibiades_mystery Feb 2016 #64
You're probably about right. Trump will win on the other side by a YUUUUUGE margin. Vinca Feb 2016 #67
Bernie at +7. eom. 1StrongBlackMan Feb 2016 #69
Bernie wins by at least 10 points Runningdawg Feb 2016 #70
12 is my number as well. basselope Feb 2016 #71
Congrats to Bernie and all his supporters. kenn3d Feb 2016 #72
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