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2016 Postmortem

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thesquanderer

(12,886 posts)
Thu Feb 11, 2016, 07:40 PM Feb 2016

"Team Clinton tries to lower Nevada expectations with incredible (i.e. false) claims" [View all]

Last edited Mon Feb 15, 2016, 02:29 PM - Edit history (1)

https://www.ralstonreports.com/blog/team-clinton-tries-lower-nevada-expectations-incredible-ie-false-claims

Clinton spokesman Brian Fallon told NBC's Chuck Todd...“There’s an important Hispanic element to the Democratic caucus in Nevada. But it’s still a state that is 80 percent white voters. You have a caucus-style format, and he’ll have the momentum coming out of New Hampshire presumably, so there’s a lot of reasons he should do well.”

80 percent white? What?

This canard was later repeated Wednesday by Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook, according to Politico's John Bresnahan. And it was then repeated on a conference call, ABC's Liz Kruetz reported.

I understand the desire of Team Clinton to lower expectations in Nevada after being crushed by Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire. But both Mook and Fallon know that 80 percent figure is ludicrous, and the attempt to make Nevada seem like Iowa and New Hampshire is a spin too far.
...
Nevada's Hispanic population is about 27 percent. African-Americans and Asian/Pacific Islanders make up almost 10 percent each. That is, nearly half of the state's population is made up of minorities.
...
The inestimable Adam Nagourney of The New York Times ignored the nonsense in a piece Wednesday that pointed out that Nevada is "as racially diverse as Iowa and New Hampshire are not."

There is no reliable polling in Nevada -- at least not yet. But the conventional wisdom had been that Clinton had a huge advantage here, especially because Team Sanders did not arrive until October. Not anymore.

I don't smell a rat. I smell something much more pungent from the Clinton campaign: fear.
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ahhhhh, the' "it's STILL because he only appeals to whites" meme restorefreedom Feb 2016 #1
Yup. Meanwhile, BS has favorables at least as high as HRC among blacks who are familiar with both candidates thesquanderer Feb 2016 #4
i am not surprised :) nt restorefreedom Feb 2016 #5
someone's internal polling must suck. you roguevalley Feb 2016 #13
for sure. nt restorefreedom Feb 2016 #14
It also presupposes that Sanders can only win among whites. lumberjack_jeff Feb 2016 #2
Correct. See post #4, too! (n/t) thesquanderer Feb 2016 #12
Isn't Hillary white? Politicalboi Feb 2016 #3
I know. bvar22 Feb 2016 #20
Looks like Clinton internals show them in danger John Poet Feb 2016 #6
If he wins Nevada and even just manages to come close in SC... thesquanderer Feb 2016 #7
We'll know how bad the internals are by how nasty they get. morningfog Feb 2016 #8
And is it my imagination, or do things get worse every time Bill tries to help? thesquanderer Feb 2016 #15
Skinner made a similar claim for WI based on 2008 primary voting data HereSince1628 Feb 2016 #9
I'm not concerned Aerows Feb 2016 #10
It's because Hispanics are Schrodinger's Whites. Shandris Feb 2016 #11
Sounds like a racist remark to me... MrMickeysMom Feb 2016 #16
Yes, they want to reinforce the meme that Bernie can't win with POC thesquanderer Feb 2016 #17
I see this was also posted at... thesquanderer Feb 2016 #18
it's way more than lowering expectations; it's more of her divide and conquer politicking amborin Feb 2016 #19
expectations are severely important Cheese Sandwich Feb 2016 #21
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