2016 Postmortem

Bucky

(55,334 posts)

93. Thanks for the link. That December polls is from Gravis Marketing, they're also a GOP firm

Sun Feb 14, 2016, 11:02 AM

Feb 2016

As a polling professional, I'd advise you NOT to trust anything they put out. I remember their name from 2014. They blew it time after time

http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2014/05/21/the_worst_poll_in_america.html

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Hillary is CRUSHING IT in South Carolina poll [View all] upaloopa Feb 2016 OP

I heard she was losing and running scared bravenak Feb 2016 #1

Yeah. Cause, you know, she does that all the time. Like at that 12 hour hearing where she Squinch Feb 2016 #9

Well, that has only been the last forty years she's be tough like that. bravenak Feb 2016 #13

And her supporters will weep copious tears. Squinch Feb 2016 #14

Oh yes. The youth will outvote the rest of us bravenak Feb 2016 #16

I'm 54, so I'll probably just be a condiment for the soylent green. Squinch Feb 2016 #22

Oh oh oh!!! bravenak Feb 2016 #26

They never show up. So far in both primaries, they haven't shown up. Squinch Feb 2016 #33

My vagina totally makes my game plans bravenak Feb 2016 #35

I'm always horrified in the off year elections. I asked this year what the turnout was in Squinch Feb 2016 #44

It was quiet here too. bravenak Feb 2016 #53

Me too. Squinch Feb 2016 #54

I'd rather be salsa than just green goo! Lucinda Feb 2016 #98

You and me, Lucinda! We complete the meal! Squinch Feb 2016 #99

Those messages were posted from a VERY remote location .... NurseJackie Feb 2016 #76

But we heard she only had 14 staffers there. leftofcool Feb 2016 #2

she's also low balling SC and NEvada. roguevalley Feb 2016 #62

Bernie supporters will now demonstrate their double standards. Dawson Leery Feb 2016 #3

Well NOW it's skewed. What do the internet polls say? Squinch Feb 2016 #24

As long as we win the White house and the Senate I'm good. JRLeft Feb 2016 #4

Hell yes. And replace SCALIA. bravenak Feb 2016 #19

We need someone to replace Scalia and 3 more justices. JRLeft Feb 2016 #37

Yep. We need younger ones on our side bravenak Feb 2016 #38

Then we can overturn all of the voter suppression laws. JRLeft Feb 2016 #40

Thats pretty much the only way bravenak Feb 2016 #41

1st up citizens united JRLeft Feb 2016 #43

Fuck that it dont matter bravenak Feb 2016 #48

Citizens united impacts local elections too, it actually has an bigger JRLeft Feb 2016 #50

Courts. bravenak Feb 2016 #52

Thomas lost his brain, what will he do now? JRLeft Feb 2016 #55

My oh my whatever shall he do? bravenak Feb 2016 #56

YES YES and YES!!! bettyellen Feb 2016 #112

. bravenak Feb 2016 #114

k&R nt fun n serious Feb 2016 #5

Sanders has 19% with blacks... what the hell!? That's GOP territory... Maybe West wasn't the uponit7771 Feb 2016 #6

That's a large and strange variation based on a demographic. I wonder why. nt JustABozoOnThisBus Feb 2016 #85

Let's see if this poll matches up with PPP poll that's going. bigdarryl Feb 2016 #7

If she wins by that margin, it would be crushing. morningfog Feb 2016 #8

Bernie absolutely needs to win NV or he's toast. stopbush Feb 2016 #49

The Deep South is conservative. Bonobo Feb 2016 #10

Hillary winning by 20 or more points will not help Bernie. DCBob Feb 2016 #73

It's all about expectations. Bonobo Feb 2016 #74

CBS poll says 59-40 redwitch Feb 2016 #94

That indicates he's made a bit of progress. DCBob Feb 2016 #96

She was once 'crushing it' in New Hampshire. AtomicKitten Feb 2016 #11

Very true, but this poll is 7 days before the primary, not a few weeks. nt kstewart33 Feb 2016 #18

Actually its 14 days until SCarolina Funtatlaguy Feb 2016 #25

Thanks for the correction! nt kstewart33 Feb 2016 #61

LOL, 7??? Nt Logical Feb 2016 #64

Much as I like those numbers Nonhlanhla Feb 2016 #12

This must be part of the nostalgia craze. Admiral Loinpresser Feb 2016 #15

Bernie will lose SC and with nostalgia I will look back on it. upaloopa Feb 2016 #20

Hope you're wrong. ;-) n/t Admiral Loinpresser Feb 2016 #21

Who ever is our nominee I hope we can work together to elect him or her. upaloopa Feb 2016 #36

Nope. Fawke Em Feb 2016 #59

I thought she was getting desperate and has been losing The African American vote! pandr32 Feb 2016 #17

Wise. They can be interesting, but the spin can make ya dizzy! Lucinda Feb 2016 #110

I'm not big on polls...but these are great numbers! Lucinda Feb 2016 #23

Ok, I'm not big on polls too. Iliyah Feb 2016 #29

said, so many deluded people.....she's quite the accomplished liar bowens43 Feb 2016 #27

Yes, we know, all of us including POC have Stockholm Syndrome. leftofcool Feb 2016 #30

ESPECIALLY people of color. Because, you know, they aren't well informed enough to have Squinch Feb 2016 #42

K&R mcar Feb 2016 #28

A state the Democratic Party has no chance of winning in the GE. EndElectoral Feb 2016 #31

So delegate votes from the S.C. Democratic primary won't count oasis Feb 2016 #47

I would ignore polling by The American Research Group, if I were you Samantha Feb 2016 #32

i wouldn't worry about it. It really won't matter. DrBulldog Feb 2016 #34

wow - that's so rude dana_b Feb 2016 #45

A quote from the dumb part of Bill Maher LuvLoogie Feb 2016 #86

State Education Ranking Shows Vermont #1, South Carolina Last SoLeftIAmRight Feb 2016 #39

Beat like a drum mwrguy Feb 2016 #46

I went to the Middle East and DID NOT cover my head. Fawke Em Feb 2016 #60

I'd bet an unfamiliar democratic-socialist Jewish guy from Vermont is going to lose SC. TwilightGardener Feb 2016 #51

Give up the entire south?? DCBob Feb 2016 #69

Nothing terribly wrong with the demographics in that poll Jarqui Feb 2016 #57

I'm not worried. Fawke Em Feb 2016 #58

no way! bigtree Feb 2016 #63

This is ARG OnlinePoker Feb 2016 #65

Do you really expect any pollster to be precisely correct? DCBob Feb 2016 #67

agreed. ARG gives it a 5% margin of error Bucky Feb 2016 #80

I thought Hillary's firewall was being crushed in SC?? DCBob Feb 2016 #66

Huh vercetti2021 Feb 2016 #68

Where was she the last time this poll was taken? Jester Messiah Feb 2016 #70

These numbers reflect pretty much the previous polls in SC DCBob Feb 2016 #72

That seems at odds with the youth demo support for Bernie. kristopher Feb 2016 #71

Bernie hits a brick wall in SC workinclasszero Feb 2016 #75

Super Tuesday.. DCBob Feb 2016 #78

since it is basically the primary of the South 6chars Feb 2016 #81

It means she will have tremendous momentum going into the states following Super Tuesday... DCBob Feb 2016 #82

I'm not so sure 6chars Feb 2016 #90

Unfortunately for Bernie he cant win with just white liberals. DCBob Feb 2016 #92

The democratic party is diverse just like the country workinclasszero Feb 2016 #104

It's true. She's totally gonna clobber Bernie, by at least 30 points. Expectations set on HIGH Bucky Feb 2016 #77

Bernie will need to close within the teens to claim any sort of marginal victory. DCBob Feb 2016 #79

Oh I was being silly. But you're basically right. 40% is the real mark he has to hit to stay viable Bucky Feb 2016 #83

You really think Bernie will win NV? DCBob Feb 2016 #84

most recent poll was 45-45 Bucky Feb 2016 #87

That poll is suspect... Republican pollster. DCBob Feb 2016 #88

Actually there were only 2 polls, the one in November was long before Bernie surged Bucky Feb 2016 #89

There was one end of December that had Hillary up 50-27. DCBob Feb 2016 #91

Thanks for the link. That December polls is from Gravis Marketing, they're also a GOP firm Bucky Feb 2016 #93

I would recommend we wait until a reputable polling firm releases new polling data. DCBob Feb 2016 #95

Here's a couple more polls. Like I said before, it's all tied up. Bucky Feb 2016 #111

I have to admit Bernie is doing much much better than I had ever imagined. DCBob Feb 2016 #115

Thanks for posting Gothmog Feb 2016 #97

CBS Face The Nation reported TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2016 #100

Previous CBS SC poll had similar numbers.. DCBob Feb 2016 #101

Thanks! TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2016 #103

Yes. If that was the result but.. DCBob Feb 2016 #105

Maybe so TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2016 #108

I think every state presents different challenges to polling. DCBob Feb 2016 #109

SC where the best and brightest live Politicalboi Feb 2016 #102

Bashing southerners is so fun for Bernie supporters. DCBob Feb 2016 #106

Oh goodness, is this your first election? Way to win hearts and minds. bettyellen Feb 2016 #113

Here's a K and BlueMTexpat Feb 2016 #107

k&r bigtree Feb 2016 #116