2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: My detailed take on why NOT Bernie Sanders [View all]wildeyed
(11,243 posts)Trump would inspire blacks, immigrants and college educated whites to vote in droves. And it is completely evident from the primary, Trump has no ground game and his people are not reliable voters.
Hillary Clinton will murder Donald Trump in a GE. We should all pray for that match up.
Look at the swing-o-matic. I can depress the crap out of black and educated white voters and Dems still win. Non-college whites will might break more for Clinton than they did for Obama too. And believe it or not, many of us do not find Sanders inspiring in the least. He is no Obama, that is for damn sure. He will have the same problems turning out voters in the GE as Clinton. Neither is as gifted or inspiring as Obama and the mood of the nation is sour.
Expect either candidate to see lower turnout. But it doesn't matter. They still win.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/