2016 Postmortem

speaktruthtopower

(800 posts)

38. If that happens..

Sun Feb 14, 2016, 09:58 PM

Feb 2016

someone like Kerry will probably get in. But she still has big leads in SC and the other southern states.

The real concern is whether white and young voters will turn out in the fall if she is the nominee, and whether her strong numbers among AAs will be matched by turnout.

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Nevada tied; South Carolina closing: [View all] Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 OP

Hillary is still the favorite but let's fight to push her into the underdog role. JRLeft Feb 2016 #1

things look good for Sanders mgcgulfcoast Feb 2016 #4

Better, but not great at least not yet. JRLeft Feb 2016 #5

And we had better be more vigilant about the possibility of vote fraud from now on. Cal33 Feb 2016 #40

Election Fraud, not voter fraud. Tommymac Feb 2016 #53

Election fraud, yes. Thanks. Cal33 Feb 2016 #67

"The trend is your friend". n/t earthside Feb 2016 #51

What a perfectlypaced trajectory it appears to have. dinkytron Feb 2016 #54

I'm cautiously optimistic. LWolf Feb 2016 #2

GOP push poll? itsrobert Feb 2016 #3

You don't know what a "push poll" is, do you? Hint - it's not a poll. The data's relied upon by 538 Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #7

Did I say it was? itsrobert Feb 2016 #9

They used it for Nevada because there is nothing else out there. We've read it. Have you? n/t Lucinda Feb 2016 #10

"Yes, there are a lot of Free Beaconish questions about bad issues for Hillary." itsrobert Feb 2016 #11

The poll graph is from Pollster and 538 has the exact same prognosis based on the same polling. If Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #12

538 took it from that poll itsrobert Feb 2016 #13

what part of "538 has the exact same prognosis based on the same polling" hides the fact that 538 Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #18

Found the link, looks like they only weighted the one GOP polster itsrobert Feb 2016 #15

This poll is good enough for 538, for Pollster, and for Real Clear Politics, but you know better? Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #20

The difference between the OPs Nevada poll and a push poll kristopher Feb 2016 #46

What if Hillary loses both Nev and SC? INdemo Feb 2016 #6

I'm pretty sure she'll win SC. If she loses it, she might as well drop out. jfern Feb 2016 #8

She won't drop out even then. NorthCarolina Feb 2016 #19

No she can't FBaggins Feb 2016 #55

No dropping out in sight. 21st Century Poet Feb 2016 #23

She loses both she's done Rocky the Leprechaun Feb 2016 #28

If that happens.. speaktruthtopower Feb 2016 #38

John Kerry is a statesman ,he will not get in and he will not INdemo Feb 2016 #59

Bernie hires some extra protection and sleeps with one eye open? Jester Messiah Feb 2016 #41

What's after the kitchen sink from the Hillary camp? nt PonyUp Feb 2016 #14

Commies! Traitors! Surrender Monkeys! JackRiddler Feb 2016 #16

As long as it wasn't with you-know-who! nt PonyUp Feb 2016 #17

Excactly. And they are doing the kitchen sink too early and its made out of feathers:) litlbilly Feb 2016 #35

The kitchen sink normally comes out at the first hint of hemorrhaging. JimDandy Feb 2016 #47

Not to mention the fact that... dchill Feb 2016 #68

The bathtub! cui bono Feb 2016 #62

The more people get to know Bernie the more people will vote for him. Dont call me Shirley Feb 2016 #21

Same feelings dpatbrown Feb 2016 #24

I have my Bernie bumper sticker, it gets my teen dates.... Dont call me Shirley Feb 2016 #27

Ah ha! So Gloria Steinem was right! FailureToCommunicate Feb 2016 #33

Just got my hat yesterday Bjornsdotter Feb 2016 #31

My Bernie car sticker 840high Feb 2016 #30

To know, know, know him... Art_from_Ark Feb 2016 #66

Those big numbers for Hillary are nothing more than name recognition Quixote1818 Feb 2016 #22

The problem with waiting to the last minute to pay attention---- Doitnow Feb 2016 #29

Sanders lost IA PoC by 25% after spending 3 months campaigning there... uponit7771 Feb 2016 #65

The trajectory for Nevada .. cannabis_flower Feb 2016 #25

Based on the last 2 states you have to give Bernie an extra +5.5% Elmer S. E. Dump Feb 2016 #26

Meh n/t cosmicone Feb 2016 #32

I really think he can win Nevada. Nyan Feb 2016 #34

I think the debate helped him in Nevada: "Bernie Wins Debate 25-9 in Nevada Focus Group" Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #37

Well, but it's a caucus state. Jester Messiah Feb 2016 #42

I'm sure Team Bernie got a crash course in Caucusing in IA demwing Feb 2016 #58

People have been snubbing him in Nevada. leftofcool Feb 2016 #52

Not true. azmom Feb 2016 #57

DUZY!!! cui bono Feb 2016 #63

Aye, looks like the good ship Hillary is taking on water. jalan48 Feb 2016 #36

How are you getting that graph for SC? I see Hillary 61%, Bernie 35% Cheese Sandwich Feb 2016 #39

Hillary's lead in SC has gone from 40+ Pts in Nov. klook Feb 2016 #43

Weird I see the 61/34 one too. OhZone Feb 2016 #48

+1 uponit7771 Feb 2016 #64

As stated, it is a graph of "CBS poll of South Carolina likely voters had Clinton's lead cut in half Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #73

40% in SC? That is a very good start. liberal_at_heart Feb 2016 #44

Inevitable Is The New Mission Accomplished billhicks76 Feb 2016 #45

If she loses Nevada, this thing is all over. Joe the Revelator Feb 2016 #49

Oh my! gotta get my funk on Botany Feb 2016 #50

To quote Paul Simon... "Slip Slidin' Away..." cherokeeprogressive Feb 2016 #56

He'll win NV by 5-8 points and lose SC by about 2-3. geek tragedy Feb 2016 #60

If she loses SC it will get more ugly than anyone will imagine enigmatic Feb 2016 #69

But but... it's her turn! Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #61

He has 5 days more in Nevada and until the 27th(?) until SC! in_cog_ni_to Feb 2016 #70

to know him is to love him Karma13612 Feb 2016 #71

K & R LWolf Feb 2016 #72

Bernie lost Nevada. Cali_Democrat Feb 2016 #74

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2016 #75

This numbers should be updated Gothmog Feb 2016 #76

Lol! vdogg Feb 2016 #77

South Carolina was closing? Cali_Democrat Feb 2016 #78