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2016 Postmortem

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H2O Man

(73,537 posts)
Mon Feb 15, 2016, 01:41 PM Feb 2016

The Good Fight [View all]

One of the most interesting dynamics of election contests -- be they primaries or general elections -- is how campaigns adjust their tactics. Being the “front-runner” is very different from being at the back of a pack. When we look at the current republican primary, we see shifts in who will attack who, in hopes of gaining a strategic advantage. And in the Democratic primary, we have witnessed a change in tactics, for a reason that was highlighted by a recent poll.

Attacking your opponent’s strength can be a winning campaign technique. In recent times, of course, Karl Rove attempted to claim this tactic as his original brain-child. The republican Pillsbury doughboy’s lack of any meaningful success since 2004 suggests that Karl understood “how,” but not “why,” this tactic can succeed. Indeed, it can also fail.

A Quinnipiac poll from the recent Iowa primary contest showed that 93% of Democrats view Bernie Sanders as “honest and trustworthy.” While Hillary Clinton won the Iowa contest, it was so close as to be a virtual tie. Hence, the “honest and trustworthy” character traits associated in the public’s mind were identified as the strength that needed to be attacked.

In a general election for the Oval Office, it frequently falls upon the vice presidential candidate to be the attack dog. This has been best illustrated, over the decades, by some of the republican VP candidates -- Nixon in the 1950s, Agnew under Nixon, Bob Dole, and Sarah Palin all come to mind. But, in a primary contest, it is usually better to have the campaign, rather than the candidate, go on the offensive. (Donald Trump is clearly an exception to this rule, which serves as an accurate measure of how dysfunctional the republican party is in 2016.)

To a small extent, both Sanders and Clinton have confronted one another during their debates. Bernie has spoken of Hillary’s “Super Pac,” in the context of it being evidence that she is part of the political establishment that is corrupted by Wall Street. Hillary has attempted to frame this as a smear campaign. Another debate topic came from a non-debate question a journalist asked Bernie: Is Hillary a progressive? Sanders’s answer was based upon Clinton’s telling certain audiences that she is a moderate, centrist Democrat. Her response was to falsely claim that Sanders had appointed himself “keeper of the gate” for defining who is progressive -- something that is pure fiction.

Going into New Hampshire, Hillary Clinton was gaining the endorsements of numerous good, high-profile Democrats. However, while this is effective in some circles, it cemented her image of being an establishment candidate in other circles. More, the fact that Bernie identifies as a Democratic Socialist -- which had been considered his greatest weakness -- was proving to be a strength, when the public learned what that actually implies.

Hence, we are seeing the Clinton campaign go after Sanders on issues relating to his honesty and trustworthiness. This comes as no surprise, as it was easily anticipated. A first step in attacking a person’s character is to attempt to make them appear “different.” Like the infamous “Dean scream” made Howard seem a bit odd. Thus, part of the recent post-debate spin includes “did you see how often Bernie waves a hand while Hillary is answering a question?” Or, the focus on Bernie’s attempt to get in “the last word” on certain questions. Gosh! You’d think he was running for office, or something.

The new low-point that the Clinton campaign has plunged to has been its attempt to discredit Sanders’s history with the Civil Rights movement. Sanders, of course, has never claimed that he was a leader in the movement. Rather, he was one of the thousands of people who put himself on the line -- even getting arrested -- during the struggle.

This Clinton campaign tactic is as unethical as anything the 2000 Bush campaign employed against McCain in South Carolina. Even when exposed, it did not hurt Bush back then, because their party values a good lie over ethics every time. But it may not play as well within the 2016 Democratic primaries. As the public learns that the Clinton campaign will stoop to low blows about an issue as important as Civil Rights, it just might backfire.

Keep on fighting the Good Fight!
H2O Man

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The Good Fight [View all] H2O Man Feb 2016 OP
well, what do you expect? It's all they got. If you can't attack on the issues... nt antigop Feb 2016 #1
As has been noted before, H2O Man Feb 2016 #6
all this is doing is damaging the party. antigop Feb 2016 #12
Well, to be honest passiveporcupine Feb 2016 #26
Your essays and insights are always a pleasure to read. Thanks. Nt myrna minx Feb 2016 #2
Thank you! H2O Man Feb 2016 #7
Love taps compared with what he would face in the GE so, good practice BeyondGeography Feb 2016 #3
Respectfully disagree. H2O Man Feb 2016 #8
That's TBD BeyondGeography Feb 2016 #13
Character is still important to this society, up and down, left and right, what-ever to what-ever mrdmk Feb 2016 #4
Right. H2O Man Feb 2016 #9
Yep, 2000 and by extension 2004. Bush did not win... mrdmk Feb 2016 #15
Recommend. Zorra Feb 2016 #5
I don't like it. H2O Man Feb 2016 #10
I really, really like that saying, thanks. Zorra Feb 2016 #20
Well said, keep on keeping the good fight, Bernie peeps...it is far from over. K&R Jefferson23 Feb 2016 #11
Right. H2O Man Feb 2016 #33
Absolutely and well after should we win. I feel people are prepared for this fight for democracy. Jefferson23 Feb 2016 #37
I am more H2O Man Feb 2016 #38
and thanks for some sanity in GD-P nt antigop Feb 2016 #14
Thank you! H2O Man Feb 2016 #34
I can't quite put my finger on what I see between the lines. Gregorian Feb 2016 #16
I think you H2O Man Feb 2016 #35
Excellent, as always. cyberswede Feb 2016 #17
Thank you! H2O Man Feb 2016 #36
I'll be interested to see how the Sanders camp deals with legitimacy. malthaussen Feb 2016 #18
Being perceived as the frontrunner won't lessen Bernie's support. winter is coming Feb 2016 #21
It's about honesty and integrity Z_California Feb 2016 #23
He's not changed since he first entered politics passiveporcupine Feb 2016 #27
Very good. H2O Man Feb 2016 #41
Also an excellent point. malthaussen Feb 2016 #50
Right. H2O Man Feb 2016 #52
the 'Clinton campaign' did not attempt to discredit Sanders on civil rights bigtree Feb 2016 #19
Oh please. Z_California Feb 2016 #22
campaign rhetoric bigtree Feb 2016 #25
It's just a coincidence that it happened all together, right? passiveporcupine Feb 2016 #28
like I said, if coordination can be claimed for Clinton bigtree Feb 2016 #29
Sure they did. H2O Man Feb 2016 #42
Would love to see the next president (Bernie Sanders) start a new New Deal Revolution. Undo Dont call me Shirley Feb 2016 #24
Well said! H2O Man Feb 2016 #43
Thank you for your awesome OP, H2O Man! Dont call me Shirley Feb 2016 #48
This is not a good political era we live in. Unknown Beatle Feb 2016 #30
Interesting. H2O Man Feb 2016 #44
Why do things need to become bad for people to do good? Unknown Beatle Feb 2016 #56
Very good. H2O Man Feb 2016 #57
Recommended. Hillary's very methodology is part of the old paradigm, Ron Green Feb 2016 #31
Right. H2O Man Feb 2016 #45
Great post. K&R nt Live and Learn Feb 2016 #32
Thank you! H2O Man Feb 2016 #46
outstanding post, H2O Man, as always! 2banon Feb 2016 #39
Thanks! H2O Man Feb 2016 #47
Yo'ure the best, most talented writer on DU, Waterman. enigmatic Feb 2016 #40
Oh, thank you! H2O Man Feb 2016 #49
An excellent OP! Uncle Joe Feb 2016 #51
Thank you! H2O Man Feb 2016 #53
I agree this thread has made many good points, to all the participants. Uncle Joe Feb 2016 #54
I like that H2O Man Feb 2016 #55
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