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2016 Postmortem

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Metric System

(6,048 posts)
Sat Feb 20, 2016, 10:29 PM Feb 2016

Vox: The entrance polls said Nevada’s Latinos voted for Bernie Sanders. That’s unlikely. [View all]

Hillary Clinton won the Nevada Democratic caucuses on Saturday. She did so thanks largely to her strength in Clark County — the home of Las Vegas, and the most heavily Latino part of the state.

That's important to note, because entrance polls showed Bernie Sanders winning among Latino voters — by a shockingly wide margin.

An early wave of entrance polling showed Sanders beating Clinton by 11 points with Latinos. A later wave showed him winning by 8.

What really happened? We might not ever know for sure. But if you look at the possible scenarios — and at the entrance and exit polls' record with Latinos — the most plausible conclusion is that the entrance polls didn't correctly predict Nevada's Latino vote.

Clinton won the most heavily Latino parts of the state

Continued at link:
http://www.vox.com/2016/2/20/11079660/latinos-nevada-sanders

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