2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: ELECTION SPOILER: Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE [View all]johnlucas
(1,250 posts)I don't take much stock in polls pro or con because you don't know how the question was asked, what the sample size of the questioned voters was, if the question was leading or biased, if the voters aren't trying to throw off the results with false responses.
And most of all I know that no poll asks the entire voting populace on how they feel.
I don't care if they're good polling outfits or biased ones like Rasmussen.
They can only give a guideline of where things are going.
Also people look at poll numbers & can either be biased to follow the results of that poll in favor of who's winning or be biased to go against the poll's results in favor of who's losing.
I take more stock in Intrade because people are actually putting their money where their mouth is.
Anybody can run their mouth but when people are willing to pony up on their beliefs it gets real.
So damn the pollsthe ones IN favor of Obama AND the ones NOT in favor of Obama.
You got 4 weeks to see if I'm blowing smoke out of my ass.
When the results of the poll that matters come in I'm going to refer to this thread again.
That poll is the one on November 6th in the voting booth.
I'm calling it. 20 points. Minimum 15. Popular vote percentage.
Romney's gonna get CRUSHED & the Republican Party as we know it is going to die on the National Stage.
John Lucas