2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: ELECTION SPOILER: Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE [View all]johnlucas
(1,250 posts)Electoral College follows Popular Vote.
Every state has different rules on how Electors are divvied up.
Sometimes it's winner take all, sometimes it's proportional.
But Obama controls so much of that right now it's NEVER been a question of him getting to 270.
The Popular Vote that influences the Electoral Vote is ALSO strong in his favor & that's my point in this thread.
That's why I see landslide.
At one time before I knew better I complained about the Electoral College.
But the Electoral College protects smaller regions so they can have a say in who gets elected President.
If not for that the Republicans would be REALLY mad if Presidents were always selected from New York City, Los Angeles, & Chicago, among other giant metropolis zones.
Democrats rule big cities more than not.
But Obama has appeal even in smaller regions.
The only block is those bigot zones crafted by the Southern Strategy.
Once we break up the Southern Strategy, the Republican Party is going to fall into waste.
The bigot zones are still strong but not Majority strong anymore. They're just a stubborn but ever-eroding Plurality.
When I hear that Obama may have play in places like Arizona & Georgia & North Carolina & Virginia, I know the Solid South is getting liquid.
Ohio is now an Obama state when before they went headlong into Bush.
He's eroding more & more of that stubborn Plurality & I say now that he's not an unknown entity, he will have MORE pull on that erosion in 2012.
He commands enough of the Popular Vote to command the Electoral Vote.
And his Electoral Vote is COMMANDING to say the least.
Romney is looking at a blowout come November & I see Obama winning that mandate as his power spreads downticket.
This clip is just a taste of what Romney's looking at on Election Day. It's gonna be WORSE this time around.
Wait til they get to the part where the West Coast comes in with Hawaii, California, Oregon, & Washington just carrying Obama way over the top.
John Lucas