2016 Postmortem

DesertRat

(27,995 posts)

44. k&r

Reply to Chichiri (Original post)

Sat Mar 5, 2016, 04:46 PM

Mar 2016

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What do you mean, Hillary won Minnesota!? [View all] Chichiri Mar 2016 OP

Message auto-removed Name removed Mar 2016 #1

Superdelagates should not be counted at this time. To do so is very misleading Autumn Mar 2016 #2

I'm not counting superdelegates at all. Chichiri Mar 2016 #3

Just a PSA, the horsehit media is counting them. Autumn Mar 2016 #9

I'm aware of that. nt Chichiri Mar 2016 #12

Thanks so much for helping me understand! Last count Hortensis Mar 2016 #52

How did Bernie tie in NH if you don't count super delegates? n/t A Simple Game Mar 2016 #27

Bernie's target was 15, Hillary's was 9. Chichiri Mar 2016 #38

WRONG!!!! marew Mar 2016 #53

15 and 9 does not include the superdelegates at all. Chichiri Mar 2016 #54

People are not demographic robots AgerolanAmerican Mar 2016 #4

The networks called 2008 for Obama before a single West Coast result was in. Chichiri Mar 2016 #11

It's not the chattering classes. It's political and social scientists explaining and predicting... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #17

K&R DemonGoddess Mar 2016 #5

Great OP Gothmog Mar 2016 #6

This post *doesn't* include superdelegates. Kang Colby Mar 2016 #7

with all due respect ellennelle Mar 2016 #36

Except that "Super"delegates can change ... Jopin Klobe Mar 2016 #39

I read something similar recently, but I didn't bookmark it. Beacool Mar 2016 #8

K&R! Thanks for explaining! Bleacher Creature Mar 2016 #10

K&R fleabiscuit Mar 2016 #13

Interesting. But I'm most interested in Mississippi and Louisiana! --- Will Bernie be able ... NurseJackie Mar 2016 #14

Just from looking at the probability curve . . . Chichiri Mar 2016 #19

K & R radical noodle Mar 2016 #15

K&R Treant Mar 2016 #16

... except that Sanders's supporters set his targets at zero and declare every state a victory. Buzz Clik Mar 2016 #18

Your picture of h is exactly my face reading this bs. nt artislife Mar 2016 #20

K&R! stonecutter357 Mar 2016 #21

K&R ismnotwasm Mar 2016 #22

Stop confusing people with facts dlwickham Mar 2016 #23

K&R Alfresco Mar 2016 #24

they're called "unfaithful delegates" for a reason MisterP Mar 2016 #25

k&r Starry Messenger Mar 2016 #26

your assessment of mn is incorrect because Bernie took every district evenly even the minority ones azurnoir Mar 2016 #28

There are no minority districts here. Chichiri Mar 2016 #37

complete bull puckey look at the precincts themselves Hillary snubbed the Black voters in MN azurnoir Mar 2016 #48

You mentioned Patrick Henry High School, in north Minneapolis. Chichiri Mar 2016 #50

I live in St Paul and spent many years living in North Mpls a block off of Plymouth Ave azurnoir Mar 2016 #58

Just the stats, man. Just the stats. nt Chichiri Mar 2016 #59

No stats reality azurnoir Mar 2016 #60

I . . . what? nt Chichiri Mar 2016 #61

It all depends on how he can compensate for those targets by doing better in states later on. Tiggeroshii Mar 2016 #29

Response kristopher Mar 2016 #30

The numbers are from FiveThirtyEight. Chichiri Mar 2016 #32

"nil"? I remember that same word being used when Bernie was at 4%. kristopher Mar 2016 #40

The last time Bernie was at 4% was April 21 of last year. Chichiri Mar 2016 #47

I caucused for Hillary in MN BainsBane Mar 2016 #31

So did I Chichiri Mar 2016 #33

Yes, and the MN math is what it is too. BainsBane Mar 2016 #34

Counting ALL MN delegates so far... yallerdawg Mar 2016 #35

Way to move those goal posts. PoliticalMalcontent Mar 2016 #41

Exactly. Eric J in MN Mar 2016 #42

Math is what it is. nt Chichiri Mar 2016 #45

Math based on statistics. Hatchling Mar 2016 #49

Actually, that phrase first appeared in a British paper in 1891... Chichiri Mar 2016 #51

Absolutely. Hatchling Mar 2016 #57

K&R! Stuckinthebush Mar 2016 #43

k&r DesertRat Mar 2016 #44

Kicking kydo Mar 2016 #46

Good post... SidDithers Mar 2016 #55

K&R fleabiscuit Mar 2016 #56