2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Today proves Hillary has done a terrible job of wrapping this up! [View all]JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)The big, liberal states have yet to vote. The Northern states are trending Bernie -- even though most of those that have voted are conservative -- like Nebraska that hasn't vote Democratic in a presidential election since 1964.
Most of the Southern states, and the deepest South Southern states have now voted and they voted for Hillary. But there won't be another Texas. The closest Hillary will come will be maybe New York, maybe Michigan. But her trade policy and that of her husband will hurt her in the rust belt. Her speech about outsourcing that has been going around on the net will hurt her.
We shall see, but it is too early for Hillary supporters to draw any conclusions.
So far the conservative states have been voting.
California, the largest and perhaps most liberal state in the nation does not vote until June 7. We have 546 delegates. I have seen Bernie signs in Los Angeles, but not very many Hillary (no Hillary) ones thus far. I know there are Hillary supporters here. A very, very elderly friend called me to campaign for Hillary, so I know there are some. But they are very rare so far.
I think Bernie will sweep California the way he swept Colorado and for some of the same reasons.
I don't use or want to use marijuana, but we don't prosecute marijuana violations with jail sentences in California. Bernie's willingness to take that substance off the list of prohibited narcotics will probably draw a lot of voters in California. The conflict between practice in California and federal law is disconcerting to voters in our state. So that alone will bring out a lot of liberal voters to Bernie. It's not my issue, personally, but I know it is a huuuuge issue for a lot of other Californians.