2016 Postmortem

SecularMotion

(7,981 posts) Wed Mar 9, 2016, 08:04 AM Mar 2016

Where the Delegate Math Now Stands [View all]

Clinton extended her lead despite Michigan loss

(Newser) – There was plenty of drama in Tuesday's voting, with triple victories for Donald Trump and a stunning win for Bernie Sanders in Michigan. There were fewer surprises, however, in the delegate math at the end of the night, which leaves both front-runners on course to win their respective nominations. Clinton's delegate lead is not only intact but extended despite the loss in Michigan, according to the Hill. She won 32 delegates in Mississippi to just five for Sanders, per Politico, and will take 58 delegates from Michigan while Sanders gets 65. Counting 461 superdelegates, that gives Clinton 1,221, more than halfway to the 2,383 needed to win the nomination, while Sanders is at 571.

http://www.newser.com/story/221786/where-the-delegate-math-now-stands.html

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Where the Delegate Math Now Stands [View all] SecularMotion Mar 2016 OP

Excellent news! NurseJackie Mar 2016 #1

+1 NCTraveler Mar 2016 #2

k and r! cwydro Mar 2016 #3

As one of the BS crowd posted rock Mar 2016 #4

There are only a few states left where we know she's going to pull ahead - hell, maybe MillennialDem Mar 2016 #10

No, anything can not happen (from a practical point of view) rock Mar 2016 #34

She is not halfway there. She's at 762/2026 = 37.6% of the way there. He's at 544/2026 = 26.9% of MillennialDem Mar 2016 #38

Yeah let's NOT count super-delegates rock Mar 2016 #45

South Carolina voted 2 weeks ago CorkySt.Clair Mar 2016 #35

My bad, NORTH carolina. MillennialDem Mar 2016 #37

This is actually evidence that it is impossible tgards79 Mar 2016 #39

54% MillennialDem Mar 2016 #40

She netted an additional 20 on the night. 6 contests since ST, morningfog Mar 2016 #5

17 not 20 MillennialDem Mar 2016 #11

Green Papers has it at 20. morningfog Mar 2016 #13

Saw somewhere else where Bernie had 5 in Mississippi and 71 in MI. MillennialDem Mar 2016 #15

Super delegates always vote proportionate with the earned rather than purchased or threatened by the Dragonfli Mar 2016 #6

Aren't the superdelegates just a check on the frontrunner having a meltdown / scandal? MillennialDem Mar 2016 #12

In a way you are sort of correct, they are there as a check to keep a complete lunatic out Dragonfli Mar 2016 #17

I was only 7-8 at the time, but would the superdelegates have changed course on say, Gary Hart had MillennialDem Mar 2016 #18

That is a good question, but since it never came to that, one we will never know the answer to Dragonfli Mar 2016 #21

nope. 760 to 546 pledged. supers will,support the winner restorefreedom Mar 2016 #7

Bernie needs to win just under 54% of the remaining delegates. MillennialDem Mar 2016 #23

thanks for the hard number. very doable! nt restorefreedom Mar 2016 #24

Even better hard numbers: he needs to win 1482 out of the remaining 2745 MillennialDem Mar 2016 #25

wow, lots of ground left to cover! nt restorefreedom Mar 2016 #27

Not really.. tgards79 Mar 2016 #42

The math is actually just under 54% as of right now. We'll address what is after March 15th. MillennialDem Mar 2016 #44

They have to like Bernie 60/40 tgards79 Mar 2016 #41

actually its closer to low 50s restorefreedom Mar 2016 #43

K&R DesertRat Mar 2016 #8

So Uponthegears Mar 2016 #9

too bad for her she's nearly fresh out of southern states! Cobalt Violet Mar 2016 #14

Losing the popular vote but winning the delegates is not democratic. Nuclear Unicorn Mar 2016 #16

The rot does not go much beyond the fan boys/girls and those financially invested to a large degree. Dragonfli Mar 2016 #19

Here is the popular vote after yesterday: MineralMan Mar 2016 #20

Elections are not won by popular vote, perhaps same day it will be and maybe even should be. Dragonfli Mar 2016 #26

It's a sad day when Republicans have a fairer system of choosing their candidate TexasMommaWithAHat Mar 2016 #28

I'm not advocating anything. MineralMan Mar 2016 #29

I apologize, I misunderstood you, rereading the post you responded to it makes sense now. /nt Dragonfli Mar 2016 #30

No apology needed. I'm always happy to clarify my posts MineralMan Mar 2016 #31

This message was self-deleted by its author jcgoldie Mar 2016 #32

Quite impressive Uponthegears Mar 2016 #33

The thing is that a number of states are pretty much a sure MineralMan Mar 2016 #36

K&R great white snark Mar 2016 #22