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malthaussen

(18,415 posts)
31. Definitely unexpected...
Wed Mar 9, 2016, 11:19 AM
Mar 2016

... if not unhoped-for. A number of pundits are having to adjust the vertical hold on their crystal balls after this one.

And Michigan has fewer "yeahbuts" than other states, where the showing of Mr Sanders has been written off as within expectations, because of the number of old white folks and students; and certainly fewer than where the showing of Mrs Clinton has been similarly attributed to strong support among AA voters. As with Minnesota, Michigan is closer to a "cross-section" of the U.S., and it is perhaps instructive that Mr Sanders has so strongly out-performed expectations in those two states.

I wonder how the Iowa caucus would go if it were held now, instead of first?

-- Mal

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Michigan was not an outlier [View all] EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 OP
Mostly agree, and I'm stoked...but there ARE fewer open primary states. Lizzie Poppet Mar 2016 #1
I agree with the mostly agree, because of the same reason he can win the GE yet she likely can't Dragonfli Mar 2016 #7
She does, however, continue to lead with self-identified Democrats. malthaussen Mar 2016 #29
The worst thing than can happen to Democrats is if she wins the Primary! Dragonfli Mar 2016 #44
Overall so far Hillary has done better in open primary states than Bernie has EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #9
Such a nice birthday present. daleanime Mar 2016 #2
Happy BIRTHDAY madokie Mar 2016 #6
Happy birthday! EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #10
Happy Birthday, daleanime! Enthusiast Mar 2016 #15
Very happy birthday, indeed!! dana_b Mar 2016 #48
I agree, indys and "last minutes" are having a moment of clarity at the polling place. GO BERNIE! johnnyrocket Mar 2016 #3
Just don't call it "Bernmentum", that's a surefire way to sink the whole thing. johnnyrocket Mar 2016 #4
I love the smell of H2O Man Mar 2016 #5
Definitely unexpected... malthaussen Mar 2016 #31
"Definitely unexpected..." You mean "Definitely wrong". As opposed to the folks who were right, who jtuck004 Mar 2016 #35
Lets see if he can repeat this in Illinois and Ohio. DCBob Mar 2016 #8
The midwestern states so far: EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #11
We shall see. DCBob Mar 2016 #12
Actually, I'm beginning to think HRC's big polling leads are good for Bernie Arazi Mar 2016 #20
So he sweeps next Tuesday then CorkySt.Clair Mar 2016 #18
Let's hope so EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #21
Young voters Kittycat Mar 2016 #16
I've read that the DNC, or the various local Democratic parties, SheilaT Mar 2016 #26
Don't worry EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #37
I am coming to the conclusion that Clinton can only carry doc03 Mar 2016 #13
Bill is not alone in his record. Cassiopeia Mar 2016 #24
It really doesn't matter if she did or didn't the point is doc03 Mar 2016 #53
She's not being punished for Bill's record Carolina Mar 2016 #54
Does anyone know what's up with the twenty precincts still not reporting from Flint? FailureToCommunicate Mar 2016 #14
Hoping those aren't a few thousand "newly discovered" absentee ballots. davsand Mar 2016 #25
11 a.m. and still 16 Flint precincts not reported. FailureToCommunicate Mar 2016 #28
Genesee is 100% now. Vilis Veritas Mar 2016 #32
Odd, NYT site still claiming missing precincts FailureToCommunicate Mar 2016 #50
In interviews outside the polls, how many times did someone reply when asked who they LiberalArkie Mar 2016 #17
Hillary would not stand a chance without Trump in the Republican primary. ieoeja Mar 2016 #19
This is an excellent point EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #22
is this why msnbc does Trump 24/7? floppyboo Mar 2016 #34
Yeah, I am DISMAYED by how many DUers don't understand this... Herman4747 Mar 2016 #30
Polling is designed to influence turnout. Cassiopeia Mar 2016 #23
the person who wins on average has outperformed expectations 6chars Mar 2016 #27
This is not true jcgoldie Mar 2016 #33
If the polls show Hillary winning 63% on average floppyboo Mar 2016 #36
lol jcgoldie Mar 2016 #38
The south is done voting now. EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #40
true jcgoldie Mar 2016 #41
The average needs to be 54 Bernie - 46 Hillary EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #42
he wont get it in... jcgoldie Mar 2016 #47
Based on what, exactly? EmperorHasNoClothes Mar 2016 #51
YES!!! thanks for re-phrasing. Totally do-able! nt floppyboo Mar 2016 #52
not true. floppyboo Mar 2016 #43
What's that you say? Trajan Mar 2016 #45
all of which proves my point jcgoldie Mar 2016 #49
I truly believe in the end it will end up being Bernie who is our nominee! B Calm Mar 2016 #39
He even out performed in Mississipi. nadinbrzezinski Mar 2016 #46
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