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2016 Postmortem

frazzled

(18,402 posts)

14. It means he has to win 57.6% of the delegates in every single contest

Reply to morningfog (Original post)

Thu Mar 17, 2016, 09:47 AM

Mar 2016

Consistently. In every remaining state. Unless, of course, he wins 80% in some races. None of this is a likely scenario unless some major, unforeseen event were to alter the race dramatically.

And each time he fails to reach that percentage of victory in a state, it ups the margin by which he needs to win in subsequent states.

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Pledged Delegates: H-1121; B-799 (98 outstanding from Tuesday's contests) Bernie needs 57.6% of PDs [View all] morningfog Mar 2016 OP

Bernie is leading a MUCH NEEDED movement/revolution, as well as running in a primary. merrily Mar 2016 #1

It's not a revolution redstateblues Mar 2016 #4

Gee, what a well thought out and presented analysis. How can I possibly respond? merrily Mar 2016 #5

No, to lead a "Movement/Revolution" you need to teach them how to run for office KittyWampus Mar 2016 #16

Ah, kittycat, but it is a movement-- merrily Mar 2016 #19

57.6% is difficult but not impossible. It was never going to be easy. We go on. nt thereismore Mar 2016 #2

It is very difficult. In my sober assessment, it would take a major HIllary scandal for morningfog Mar 2016 #3

She has to reach 53%, he has to reach 57%. merrily Mar 2016 #6

She needs only 42.4% here on out. morningfog Mar 2016 #9

New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland alcibiades_mystery Mar 2016 #7

His anti-trade rhetoric will not have as much resonance here in Cali... DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #11

Sanders has got a huge problem with the delegate math. An sufrommich Mar 2016 #8

That is likely true too. The funding may stay to dry up, making him less competitive when morningfog Mar 2016 #10

His money helped... His huge spending IN NC defintely shaved some points off Clinton's win. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #12

That's how Hillary Clinton racked up a campaign deficit in 2008. sufrommich Mar 2016 #13

It means he has to win 57.6% of the delegates in every single contest frazzled Mar 2016 #14

I think he'll take upwards of 65% in a few states: Idaho, Montana, Alaska, N. and S. Dakota alcibiades_mystery Mar 2016 #15

I agree with you about Sanders staying in. So his supporters can't claim he was forced out KittyWampus Mar 2016 #17

Yes, there's going to be a "we were stabbed in the back" faction of the Sandersians for sure alcibiades_mystery Mar 2016 #18

Yes we know. thereismore Mar 2016 #20