2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: The Chaos Scenario For Democrats [View all]karynnj
(60,746 posts)consider BOTH the HRC voters and the Bernie voters. The question might be is there anyone who could make the people who voted for Bernie and those who voted for HRC happy enough to come out strong in the general election.
I think that would be incredibly tough. First of all, there might be HRC supporters arguing that an indictment is NOT a conviction and that if the nomination is taken away she suffers a permanent punishment - even if she is found not guilty of everything ... and remember that until someone is convicted they are presumed innocent. Second, if HRC concedes for the good of the party that she will not be the nominee if she is indicted, there will be Bernie voters who would argue that it should be him as he came in second.
What a way for the new person to start a general election! I think this would be impossible even for Joe Biden.
UNLESS, HRC in opting out for the good of the party endorsed someone to get her votes making the case for why she or he should lead the country. If that person got all Clinton's delegates by the assumption that she had won the nomination already, that person wins the nomination. A case could be made that that person has stepped up for the good of the party and that Clinton had unselfishly given up her chance to be President. Would Democrats follow? Would it matter who? Biden has name recognition. Warren is liked by both Clinton and Sanders supporters -- when she is not a competitor to them -- and for people who want a woman President, she would be that. I don't see Clinton naming Sanders - there is a real gap on too many things.
Now, back to reality - no indictment on Clinton, the possible indictment of some aides and the story hanging over her head when no Republican will say "I have had enough of your damn emails." If there is an indictment, I don't know how HRC would respond or how her delegates would respond if she wanted to continue in spite of it. However, if there is an indictment and she fights on with the support of the delegates she already won, we will have to defend a nominee under indictment. I really don't want to say "innocent until proven guilty" as many times as I would have to. As I think this more likely that the HRC endorsing a replacement idea, I really really hope there is no indictment.