2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Do the state of the polls (in general) seem just surreal to anyone else? [View all]Cosmocat
(14,564 posts)First it is tough for an incumbent with a less than booming economy.
Second, the 08 election, the Rs were really defeated over how putried Bush II was, and they really sort of were willing to take a beating. They VERY quickly rebounded when it happened, see the tea party and the absolutely surreal manner in which they took desperately needed health care reform and had this country actually believing it was an attack on the foundation of the country.
Third, the right has spent 4 years just BLASTING this country with their bizarre negative frames of Barrack Obama.
I like BO A LOT, and think he has done a great job. I think it is clear that Romney is the most craven, say anything to get elected candidate we have seen our lives. To US, 1 + 1 SHOULD equal 2, but people are people.
We are naturally cynical of our government, and with four years of the 'liberal" media carrying right wing water in ignoring the exceptionally good job this president has done and advancing the negative frames, it just has worn people down.
IMO, this is how Bush II won - frankly, the country was fatigued by these assholes throwing an 8 year hissy fit about Clinton, Bush II seemed harmless enough, and people voted for him to shut them up.
It got tough the last two weeks, but I have felt pretty good about the president winning reelection all along, but I was pretty sure the margins would be lower. That seems to be where this is headed now. We have seen Romney's big surge, short of something really major happening now, it SHOULD be a solid win, but not as big as 08.