Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Do the state of the polls (in general) seem just surreal to anyone else? [View all]Cosmocat
(14,558 posts)33. i think they had a shot
before debate one.
It took over a month from the end of the conventions, with a boost halfway through with the 47% tape, for BO to build a 5 point national lead, give or take.
But it literally got chewed up the last two weeks since the first debate.
The trends seem clear that Romney's uptick has stopped, and it is pretty clear BO is rebounding.
But, the pattern is that BO builds his leads slowly.
IF nothing else breaks between now and then, I think he can get to about a 3 point national lead.
I just don't see that flipping the House.
Edit history
Please sign in to view edit histories.
44 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
RecommendedHighlight replies with 5 or more recommendations
Do the state of the polls (in general) seem just surreal to anyone else? [View all]
NRaleighLiberal
Oct 2012
OP
Robme's supporters have also been fed four years of lies which they believe without question
LonePirate
Oct 2012
#8
Oh, it's surreal to me, too. I feel like I'm on Stupid Planet. And then I realize all over again the
Nay
Oct 2012
#3
I am so understanding your OP! I am a bundle of nerves, even though i am canvassing and
Ninga
Oct 2012
#6
for better or worse, I guess I am letting both my open book and bleeding heart show!
NRaleighLiberal
Oct 2012
#7
The supposed "liberal" MSM did this - Horse race - Also, some guys like tough guys
DHelix
Oct 2012
#11
It isn't the value of the polls on a given day - it is how the rolling average moves over time.
NRaleighLiberal
Oct 2012
#15
Never underestimate the stupidity of the American voter. Most don't pay any attention to
neverforget
Oct 2012
#41
FWIW, the correct term is heebie jeebies, unless you are looking to be offensive.
uppityperson
Oct 2012
#44