2016 Postmortem

DanTex

(20,709 posts)

104. ...and once they do that, one of the two candidates will have a majority. First ballot. Math.

Wed Apr 6, 2016, 05:12 PM

Apr 2016

And if Hillary has more pledged delegates, obviously she's going to keep her supers, and take the nomination. They're not going to switch to Bernie if Bernie's behind in pledges.

The only way this gets interesting is if Bernie ends up with more pledges, because it's not clear that the supers will go over to him in enough numbers, particularly since he only became a Dem to run for president, he's not helping out on down ballot races, and it's doubtful that a self-described socialist will hold up to GOP attacks.

But, like I said, no worries, that's not going to happen, because Hillary is way ahead in pledged delegates and Bernie's running out of white caucus states.

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Ah after waiting for the delegate count... it might still miss one or two [View all] nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 OP

Hillary still will have MORE delegates cosmicone Apr 2016 #1

WHOOSH nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #2

Oh brother ... the thing will be over before your popocorn pops cosmicone Apr 2016 #12

You mean it's been over since Iowa nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #13

It will be put to bed. cosmicone Apr 2016 #19

The only thing I agree is that it will be put to bed nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #21

She has won TX, MA, IA, IL, MO, OH and will win NY, NJ, PA, MD and CA cosmicone Apr 2016 #33

and lost the last few contests nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #35

You don't get momentum from Idaho, Alaska and Utah cosmicone Apr 2016 #40

aha nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #70

Now nadin that's funny. malokvale77 Apr 2016 #116

i always figured you were a TW/DLC-type neo-lib.... islandmkl Apr 2016 #152

And some of them were so decisive! SheilaT Apr 2016 #80

Until they release the raw data NWCorona Apr 2016 #123

There will not be an open convention. LonePirate Apr 2016 #82

Keep your dollar, Maddi. frylock Apr 2016 #78

More "exclusive" analysis from the OP CorkySt.Clair Apr 2016 #28

You are free to NOT READ IT you know nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #34

Absolutely CorkySt.Clair Apr 2016 #37

good, to help you nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #72

Great cartoon! Betty Karlson Apr 2016 #22

Yup, I have far more in depth conversations wiht my sun conure nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #36

I don't doubt that at all. zappaman Apr 2016 #141

goalposts moved. check. Viva_La_Revolution Apr 2016 #27

This would be all very exciting regardless of which candidate you support were it not Jackie Wilson Said Apr 2016 #103

That whole election fraud argument... malokvale77 Apr 2016 #121

Sanders will not humiliate himself by contesting the convention geek tragedy Apr 2016 #3

Is that today's talking point, or just a complete lack of imagination nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #4

If Clinton finishes 250 pledged delegates ahead of him geek tragedy Apr 2016 #23

Right now the difference is... 221 nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #24

Think about what this says about the character judgement... joshcryer Apr 2016 #99

He has said as much. joshcryer Apr 2016 #76

he's pumped up a lot of people's expectations with the "we're taking geek tragedy Apr 2016 #79

Well, I'm sure having 40% of the delegates gives him sway with the drafting committee. joshcryer Apr 2016 #89

he'll get a very few particular things thrown in there. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #95

Why do you have a problem... malokvale77 Apr 2016 #124

Yep. Chicago '68 became very entertaining after foisted Humpty on us. Tierra_y_Libertad Apr 2016 #5

That is precisely the kind of fun nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #7

Well, Hillary says they're just in it for a laugh. Like at Kent State and Birmingham. Tierra_y_Libertad Apr 2016 #8

Hey as Press I am there just for the photos nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #10

Free stuff lacks the gravity of the Vietnam war. cosmicone Apr 2016 #16

hmm hmmm... so kids are dumb and unserious nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #18

The kids in 1968 had their lives on the line due to Vietnam cosmicone Apr 2016 #29

You mean the free tuition that the State of California used to have nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #32

Bernie is toast cosmicone Apr 2016 #38

Ok, for the record, I report on this shit nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #41

Why are you promoting a socialist -- I mean "democratic" socialist cosmicone Apr 2016 #45

Now a tad of red baiting? Love it nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #46

Post removed Post removed Apr 2016 #49

I see the school system failed you nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #53

He is promising free stuff that he knows he can't deliver cosmicone Apr 2016 #56

Not only did the school sytem fail you nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #62

That is all superfluous -- it cannot be done. cosmicone Apr 2016 #66

Yup the new Democratic slogan nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #68

Meh ... fail n/t cosmicone Apr 2016 #69

Hey you are the one with that inspirational message nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #71

"I STILL BELIEVE IN A PLACE CALLED NOPE" Warren DeMontague Apr 2016 #93

You've had those graphics up for how many months now? frylock Apr 2016 #81

Well there are other graphics I think off when I see his posts nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #88

That "stick a fork in it"... malokvale77 Apr 2016 #133

From what I am hearing from the kids (and older voters) nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #142

Being one of the older voters... malokvale77 Apr 2016 #154

You know, when I get outside the American media bubble nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #155

Yup malokvale77 Apr 2016 #159

Kids in 2016 have their lives on the line due to Syria & Iran Mudcat Apr 2016 #110

The kids now days still have their lives on the line. malokvale77 Apr 2016 #128

no republicans talking points on this site. please leave wendylaroux Apr 2016 #30

No ... mine are realistic talking points of what can actually be done. cosmicone Apr 2016 #59

"free stuff",so much a conservative view. wendylaroux Apr 2016 #63

If one gets stuff for free, it is called "free stuff." n/t cosmicone Apr 2016 #67

If one pays in taxes for the programs, it is not free. morningfog Apr 2016 #73

Some people are just too fucking stupid to figure it out. frylock Apr 2016 #84

Your so called "realistic talking points"... malokvale77 Apr 2016 #134

GD:P would be almost empty without right wing talking points. LonePirate Apr 2016 #102

A scary looking bunch of funseekers. Probably drug addled (GASP!) Socialists!! Tierra_y_Libertad Apr 2016 #17

That was one long day nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #20

Really great photos, nadin! dchill Apr 2016 #47

It was a really long day though nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #50

I'll bet! dchill Apr 2016 #51

I know it was. malokvale77 Apr 2016 #136

I still remember it like it was yesterday... GeorgiaPeanuts Apr 2016 #6

Actually they did concede VT nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #9

I wasn't around here then... GeorgiaPeanuts Apr 2016 #11

I know nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #15

Nonsense...nt SidDithers Apr 2016 #14

another no content post by dithering sid Viva_La_Revolution Apr 2016 #31

He is a man of few words... few powerful words. n/t cosmicone Apr 2016 #52

LOL noretreatnosurrender Apr 2016 #135

. Fuddnik Apr 2016 #90

Let's say for a second this happens dsc Apr 2016 #25

For the same reason the Sanders do nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #26

An ethnic minority that has been over represented in the Congress dsc Apr 2016 #42

So... this is a historic race nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #43

and if it is I will support him dsc Apr 2016 #48

Well I think Clinton and Trump are demoagogues too nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #55

Why would some ever want to support..... daleanime Apr 2016 #39

because she got the most votes and delegates dsc Apr 2016 #44

Wow, a great one two combination..... daleanime Apr 2016 #54

I have had problems with caucuses for years dsc Apr 2016 #57

Gas masks, indeed. A double-helping of 1968, anyone? villager Apr 2016 #58

And the sad part here is that some posters nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #64

Stop using this site to get hits on your online blog. beaglelover Apr 2016 #60

Yes, dammit, *stop linking to things!* villager Apr 2016 #65

Most of us don't link to a blog we're the editor of just to get the hits on our website. She does. beaglelover Apr 2016 #91

May I suggest you use the ignore button if it bothers you so much? nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #98

Poster does seem to be rather heavily, emotionally invested in the linking villager Apr 2016 #101

Yes there is nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #125

At least she has something useful, insightful, and thoughtful to say here. Punkingal Apr 2016 #115

I think it is gross TM99 Apr 2016 #151

Gas mask cartridges? cosmicone Apr 2016 #61

Ignorant making fun of this nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #105

Another poster said Susan was tarred and feathered yesterday NWCorona Apr 2016 #126

I know nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #127

I think it's funny how everyone is a "math" expert NWCorona Apr 2016 #131

There is antoher trend here nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #132

That became crystal clear in Michigan. SheilaT Apr 2016 #149

It is 2008 all over again nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #150

The thing about "math" that DU experts miss... malokvale77 Apr 2016 #138

Yup! NWCorona Apr 2016 #139

F@#k the math... malokvale77 Apr 2016 #156

It really seems that way NWCorona Apr 2016 #157

Yes... malokvale77 Apr 2016 #160

If it wasn't contested it 2008 with a 62 delegate spread... joshcryer Apr 2016 #74

As you guys keep saying this is not 2008 nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #75

Sanders doesn't equivocate. Clinton could have done something. joshcryer Apr 2016 #83

I would not speak in absolutes Josh nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #87

I am absolutely certain Sanders won't contest. joshcryer Apr 2016 #94

Oy nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #96

Umm, you do understand that with only two candidates on the Dem side, DanTex Apr 2016 #77

Don't bring math and facts into this. Nt msanthrope Apr 2016 #85

And you do understand (no you don't) that you need to hit a certain number nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #86

Of course supers count. There will be one round of voting, both supers and pledged, DanTex Apr 2016 #92

They do not count until they sign their name on dotted line nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #97

...and once they do that, one of the two candidates will have a majority. First ballot. Math. DanTex Apr 2016 #104

Oy nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #107

I agree, stick with the smilies. Math is hard. DanTex Apr 2016 #109

I have done the math nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #111

Let's see it. joshcryer Apr 2016 #117

I already told you that I am not going to continue wasting my time nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #119

Hopefully. joshcryer Apr 2016 #122

They hate birds dontcha know? LOL nt malokvale77 Apr 2016 #140

Um, SDs count as their state delegations vote. joshcryer Apr 2016 #106

No josh they can vote with their states, or not nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #108

Each state delegation is called upon to vote. joshcryer Apr 2016 #114

oy nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #118

Have a nice day. joshcryer Apr 2016 #120

Meh, nothing that exciting will happen at the Democratic convention. Beacool Apr 2016 #100

I was wondering what might happen if both parties stole the election from the voters. liberal_at_heart Apr 2016 #112

For all the talk of third party, Trump has no time to do that nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #113

Indeed it is the "anger", that they do not understand. malokvale77 Apr 2016 #147

Had Kennedy lived, 1968 might well have been a brokered convention SheilaT Apr 2016 #153

And I suspect that this year we will see changes nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #158

There is one great difference from 68, Nadin: sadoldgirl Apr 2016 #129

I agree nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #130

We were talking about this very thing noretreatnosurrender Apr 2016 #137

This unrest and talking by the little people nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #143

Yes it did noretreatnosurrender Apr 2016 #145

Well we already got warned of rolling blackouts for the summer nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #146

The Best of Times noretreatnosurrender Apr 2016 #148

The super delegates will make a choice and there will be a first ballot winner Renew Deal Apr 2016 #144