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2016 Postmortem

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

9. I have trouble seeing how he massively underperforms Obama

Reply to Godhumor (Reply #8)

Tue Apr 12, 2016, 11:48 PM

Apr 2016

with black voters but over performs Obama overall by 7-10 points nevertheless.

I also wonder if there are people who ID as registered Democrats but actually aren't.

In the 2008 primary about 10% of exit poll respondents ID'd as independents.

8% wouldn't surprise me. Neither would 21%.

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Where do you live and what do you think will happen [View all] brooklynite Apr 2016 OP

No question in my mind Hillary will win here In Brooklyn and NY. hrmjustin Apr 2016 #1

Real question is does she beat the spread? geek tragedy Apr 2016 #2

Btw Siena has it 52-42 but they have her winning the suburbs by 19 and the city by 12. hrmjustin Apr 2016 #4

Interesting. I'm using the 2008 primary as the baseline. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #5

I think the Marist is looking most accurate on this race now. hrmjustin Apr 2016 #6

The consistency in the polling is remarkable nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #7

I'm guessing there is a certain amount of herding happening Godhumor Apr 2016 #8

I have trouble seeing how he massively underperforms Obama geek tragedy Apr 2016 #9

how much would you like to bet? SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #11

Not a NYER. I think Clinton will win. bigwillq Apr 2016 #3

Western NY here. I don't think the outcome is in question n/t Godhumor Apr 2016 #10

2016 is a big test for New Yorkers, as well as for all Americans, Ron Green Apr 2016 #12