2016 Postmortem

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)

37. Baghdad Bob is that you? Only 10 points?

Reply to CoffeeCat (Original post)

Sun Apr 17, 2016, 12:36 PM

Apr 2016

A close loss for Bernie will be devastating

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New CBS poll shows that Clinton has a 10-point lead in NY (not a good sign for Clinton) [View all] CoffeeCat Apr 2016 OP

Only in a parallel universe could a ten point lead be a close race. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #1

I didn't realize Michican was considered a parallel universe. bobbobbins01 Apr 2016 #6

Maybe you should DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #10

I forgot that we're playing basketball too! bobbobbins01 Apr 2016 #13

What part of Michigan was an anomaly don't you understand? DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #23

unlike basketball beedle Apr 2016 #48

I guess we will know on Tuesday. As far as the brave new world that awaits us. We heard it before. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #60

Well, if you want the Bible... highprincipleswork Apr 2016 #70

I have no problem with faith but even faith has to be tempered with reason. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #72

Bernie has consistently over performed the polling. morningfog Apr 2016 #119

Like the great southern state of Ohio DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #122

They are treating this election as a game northernsouthern Apr 2016 #32

The question is are the Poll's models up to date.. As a Clinton supporter you hope they are.. As berniepdx420 Apr 2016 #35

Actually there haven't been a lot of first time registrations redstateblues Apr 2016 #40

um, most people consider record breaking numbers significant restorefreedom Apr 2016 #56

#berniemath workinclasszero Apr 2016 #36

Since delegates are apportioned based on congressional districts a ... DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #61

given he's made up eighty points in ten months and that he leads her in roguevalley Apr 2016 #76

The only question is the Margin Of Victory. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #99

Here... Check Out YouTube.... CorporatistNation Apr 2016 #120

The issue for Sander's is a tie won't cut it, and the win must be by a large still_one Apr 2016 #97

I admire your optimism but Bernie needs to win big in NY to have any chance. DCBob Apr 2016 #2

Throw in the fact there has been ZERO MOVEMENT in that poll in two weeks. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #5

Good point. The numbers are quite stable. DCBob Apr 2016 #11

As one would expect if it keeps counting the same thing. JackRiddler Apr 2016 #91

I would be more worried if she was 20, 30 points ahead CoffeeCat Apr 2016 #15

omg, so this is how you spin yet another contrived anti-Hillary screed. R B Garr Apr 2016 #62

Maybe you should switch to decaf CoffeeCat Apr 2016 #65

I've seen enough of your anti-Hillary screeds to recognize them for the phony outrage R B Garr Apr 2016 #68

As a neutral referee I must say you won this round easily./nt DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #101

Thank you, kind sir! Yesterday we tried to get in to see Hillary at the Los Angeles R B Garr Apr 2016 #118

Only in Bernie World is a 10 point lead for Clinton a bad sign for Clinton. n/t Lil Missy Apr 2016 #3

If she wins by only 10 or less, the Clinton camp will see it as a bad sign. Trust me. ThePhilosopher04 Apr 2016 #4

Trust me, they won't see a win as a bad sign. Lil Missy Apr 2016 #7

You and I both know better ThePhilosopher04 Apr 2016 #12

No. You're being silly. After NY there isn't enough room for Bernie to make up the gap. Zynx Apr 2016 #17

It gets worse... Corporate666 Apr 2016 #107

+1000...n/t Kang Colby Apr 2016 #112

Bernie Logic Lil Missy Apr 2016 #20

not according to the math. eom artyteacher Apr 2016 #8

For sure they would prefer a bigger win... DCBob Apr 2016 #9

She can't lose the nomination if she wins NY by 10 Zynx Apr 2016 #14

Clinton is very lucky it's a closed primary with harsh registration deadlines. The fewer left of Karmadillo Apr 2016 #16

This registered Democrat has been paying attention DeeDeeNY Apr 2016 #33

She's losing upstate, btw. Fawke Em Apr 2016 #18

I am also encouraged by how well Zephyr Teachout did in upstate NY CoffeeCat Apr 2016 #21

I agree about Teachout (I remember when she followed me on Twitter and I was floored! LOL) Fawke Em Apr 2016 #22

You're right about "fuzzy" CoffeeCat Apr 2016 #34

Is that the NBC The Wall Street Journal Marist Polll conducted April 10-13... DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #25

I don't think the gun issue hurts Bernie upstate. Lots of hunters upstate. Punkingal Apr 2016 #42

A CBS News poll released 2 days before the Michigan primary had Hillary winning 55-44 BernieforPres2016 Apr 2016 #19

And the polls right before Ohio and Florida nailed it. Zynx Apr 2016 #26

Hogwash rock Apr 2016 #24

Most media sticking with 17 percent. (eom) HassleCat Apr 2016 #27

Throw in the fact Hillary's internals are tumbling, while Sanders internals are surging. ViseGrip Apr 2016 #28

And you know this how.... apcalc Apr 2016 #31

"internals" equals... workinclasszero Apr 2016 #41

Substantial lead apcalc Apr 2016 #29

If polls are correct, Sanders will do better than Obama in '08. HooptieWagon Apr 2016 #30

Baghdad Bob is that you? Only 10 points? redstateblues Apr 2016 #37

Did you chirp the same before Michigan.. we have you on the run.. we may catch you, we may pass berniepdx420 Apr 2016 #57

Nope- the numbers were moving then-they aren't now redstateblues Apr 2016 #66

What as the margin of error!!! northernsouthern Apr 2016 #38

The previous CBS poll also had it 53-43. MadBadger Apr 2016 #39

You understand it: this shows the race is STABLE and that's great for Hillary. n/t pnwmom Apr 2016 #86

10% is not a narrow margin KingFlorez Apr 2016 #43

Look at the margin of error. northernsouthern Apr 2016 #54

We'll know the actual results from NY on Tuesday night or MineralMan Apr 2016 #44

Actually, with all the 'apparent' election fraud going on we may never know the actual results. cui bono Apr 2016 #71

That is just a crock. MineralMan Apr 2016 #113

How is being +10, in a race one is already leading, not a good sign? 1StrongBlackMan Apr 2016 #45

Because corporations BeyondGeography Apr 2016 #73

and the oligarchs!!!!!!!!!!! 1StrongBlackMan Apr 2016 #74

A noun, a verb and Wall St. BeyondGeography Apr 2016 #75

CBS polls were very accurate in Florida, Ohio and Illinois BernieforPres2016 Apr 2016 #46

Only in the parallel world of Sanders' supporters is a ten point lead "not a good thing". Beacool Apr 2016 #47

"Hillary will handily win NY." workinclasszero Apr 2016 #50

I understand his supporters hoping that he wins, but at some point people need to face reality. Beacool Apr 2016 #52

Well they think if Bernie is elected prez workinclasszero Apr 2016 #55

Apparently so......... Beacool Apr 2016 #58

Without having to fund or worry about those silly downticket Dems no less. Maru Kitteh Apr 2016 #98

Do you know where there is a compilation of the primary votes that have already occurred PufPuf23 Apr 2016 #111

He's done, then. arely staircase Apr 2016 #49

Last CBS/You Gov Poll in WI kcjohn1 Apr 2016 #51

WI turnout was the biggest for primary elections since 1983... HereSince1628 Apr 2016 #64

I agree you can't make direct comparison kcjohn1 Apr 2016 #69

I have a feeling that an upset is coming... nt eastwestdem Apr 2016 #53

The trend's the significant thing, imo. elleng Apr 2016 #59

the numbers aren't trending. They haven't moved for two weeks redstateblues Apr 2016 #67

Seeing how Bernie's projected 43% is around 15 points less than his needed target Tarc Apr 2016 #63

Check your email, Bernie sent email: Gravis poll is within 6 points of Hillary. Dem2 Apr 2016 #77

Its 10 days old TMontoya Apr 2016 #78

Then why did he send me the email as if he just received this poll information? Dem2 Apr 2016 #79

Positive TMontoya Apr 2016 #81

Email says "Shock NY poll" Dem2 Apr 2016 #83

100% not a new poll. It was conducted for conservative site OAN by Gravis. Godhumor Apr 2016 #84

If it's not a new poll, it seems very deceptive to me Dem2 Apr 2016 #90

Here is the thread discussing it when it first came out Godhumor Apr 2016 #92

Thanks. Time stamp on email: Apr 17, 2016, at 5:46 PM Dem2 Apr 2016 #93

Yes, his campaign emailed a poll from 12 days ago Godhumor Apr 2016 #94

No doubt this is perhaps the most important primary to date Dem2 Apr 2016 #95

But it is not. Not at all. Nope. Not a new one. Nada Godhumor Apr 2016 #96

Yes, it was conducted the 5th and 6th Godhumor Apr 2016 #82

Because he wanted to mislead you. He's a politician. pnwmom Apr 2016 #87

I use Pollster.com Dem2 Apr 2016 #123

Was there also a donation request? Tanuki Apr 2016 #106

Just checked, yep Dem2 Apr 2016 #109

Remember Michigan... eom Purveyor Apr 2016 #80

Which means she is at EXACTLY the same number with this pollster that she was a week ago. pnwmom Apr 2016 #85

The spread is exactly the same as the last YouGov poll Godhumor Apr 2016 #88

Right. Neither the debate nor Pope-gate had any effect. n/t pnwmom Apr 2016 #89

Hillary is sinking like a stone. senz Apr 2016 #100

Yet she is handing Mr. Popularity his head. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #102

He came from far behind, won the last 7 primaries, & Hill is sinking so low senz Apr 2016 #103

She will win the nomination and the G.E, your protestations and demurrals notwithstanding. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #105

Not crying at all. Just watching her sink. senz Apr 2016 #108

May we DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #110

You seem to be confusing senz Apr 2016 #114

Thou deflect too much. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #115

Don't don't be trying to make me senz Apr 2016 #116

I will let you have the last word. I really don't dislike you./nt DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #117

The RCP Average is 12.5 RandySF Apr 2016 #104

The CBS Battleground Tracker had Hillary winning Michigan by 11% Attorney in Texas Apr 2016 #121