2016 Postmortem

woolldog

(8,791 posts)

3. ugh

Reply to TexasCPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 05:16 PM

Oct 2012

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ABC News Tracking Poll Romney 50 (+1) Obama 47(-1) [View all] TexasCPA Oct 2012 OP

These national polls are so vastly different than we see in state polls WI_DEM Oct 2012 #1

ABC Robbins Oct 2012 #5

That's the thing--they count it against the voter if they didn't vote in 2010 WI_DEM Oct 2012 #8

If that's true blazeKing Oct 2012 #30

ABC is the best tracker according to Nate krawhitham Oct 2012 #43

This gives you a better idea of the national polling: Jennicut Oct 2012 #55

I agree with you dennis4868 Oct 2012 #58

May not be a total outlier, but it is a tie poll as most. Mass Oct 2012 #59

Thank you. These Wusses on this forum are Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #63

You forgot PPP, RAND and UPI. Also, some of the polling above started prior to the last debate. mzmolly Oct 2012 #61

Both -- major outlier obamanut2012 Oct 2012 #20

Sorry to say it, but Impious Oct 2012 #2

Half of voting Americans are total idiots. If you add the idiots that dont vote, rhett o rick Oct 2012 #56

ugh woolldog Oct 2012 #3

Don't bang your head against the wall over a single poll that essentially shows the race tied Cali_Democrat Oct 2012 #10

Sooooooo.....is there something I'm supposed to do? Whine? Cry? Nah...I already voted. It'll be fine FLyellowdog Oct 2012 #4

Oh No What is going on? kansasobama Oct 2012 #6

LOL. LisaL Oct 2012 #9

National polls are relevant in terms of narrative & momentum TroyD Oct 2012 #14

Sure! Let him! fugop Oct 2012 #26

I think it's important that Obama win the Electoral College AND the Popular Vote TroyD Oct 2012 #28

Oh please. Like they need justification. fugop Oct 2012 #37

+1 Cali_Democrat Oct 2012 #40

"Otherwise the importance of his win would be weakened" Cali_Democrat Oct 2012 #39

Narrative? Momentum? BWHAHAHAHAHA!!!!! Cali_Democrat Oct 2012 #31

+1 Liberalynn Oct 2012 #51

The MSM will talk the republican up, regardless of polls either way. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #41

Tell that to ProSense Oct 2012 #45

They are irrelevant dennis4868 Oct 2012 #62

Are you concerned? Cali_Democrat Oct 2012 #16

White people; men, of course BeyondGeography Oct 2012 #7

I've read that if Obama can get 39% of white vote with same strong WI_DEM Oct 2012 #12

Agreed; it's all GOTV BeyondGeography Oct 2012 #17

Who cares by how much Obama loses TX? LisaL Oct 2012 #13

+1 obamanut2012 Oct 2012 #23

This is a three day rolling mzmolly Oct 2012 #11

Right brush Oct 2012 #24

Let me guess blazeKing Oct 2012 #15

The Midwest is much less blue than you think obamanut2012 Oct 2012 #27

NATIONAL polls mean n-o-t-h-i-n-g BigDemVoter Oct 2012 #18

I didn't see republicans whine when Gore won the popular vote. LisaL Oct 2012 #22

National polls mean fuck all. IrishSean723 Oct 2012 #19

They do matter TroyD Oct 2012 #25

They only matter IrishSean723 Oct 2012 #32

Well, I have no clue as to what do you propose we do about it. LisaL Oct 2012 #35

It's going to be awesome. fugop Oct 2012 #21

What worries me PsychProfessor Oct 2012 #29

ABC tracking sucks, and it's ProSense Oct 2012 #33

No kidding. There is NOTHING that could have caused the sharp R uptick on the 21st Blaukraut Oct 2012 #44

Thanks for that!! People need to start paying attention to the Likely Voter charade. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #46

Obama could very well lose the popular vote davidn3600 Oct 2012 #34

Bush seemed to be just fine his first term. LisaL Oct 2012 #36

I feel the same way. woolldog Oct 2012 #47

That's because Bush had both houses of congress on his side davidn3600 Oct 2012 #48

The President will NOT lose the popular vote. He didn't in 2008 and he won't now. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #50

That's a shitty model Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #38

Oh good god. Not this bullcrap again. fugop Oct 2012 #42

Oh THAT thing again. Been discussed to death here. It's not reliable. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #49

Right! PsychProfessor Oct 2012 #53

It's never been wrong....until it is Floyd_Gondolli Oct 2012 #52

I don't much care about the psychology. mzmolly Oct 2012 #65

The South is skewing the polls. Don't jump off the cliff, guys. The President is winning this race. bayareamike Oct 2012 #54

That website is called 'The Fix' for a reason. sadbear Oct 2012 #57

They SHALL HAVE a horse race. mac56 Oct 2012 #60

Gallup and Ras are also at 50-47 naviman Oct 2012 #64

So if they have the same number Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #66

National polling is pointless besides its already stale.. DCBob Oct 2012 #67

EV/PV split seems likely now. I'd much rather have the EV side of that. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #68

Poll engineered to feed the horse race narrative Floyd_Gondolli Oct 2012 #69