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2016 Postmortem

davidn3600

(6,342 posts)

17. I dont see that

Reply to Liberalynn (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 26, 2012, 06:39 AM

Oct 2012

I think the debate hurt Obama significantly in the South and slightly in the North. He might have rallied back a little. But I think that debate rallied enough of the GOP that they may take FL and NC, and may make VA a toss-up.

But pre-debate....Obama was winning FL, NC, and VA. He had a huge lead in OH. And was leading in all the national polls. So I dont see it pre-debate.

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Prediction: They will find there was no convention bounce, no debate bounce, no bounce of any kind [View all] grantcart Oct 2012 OP

You may be right. It seems to me that the only thing that's making this seem like a close election stopbush Oct 2012 #1

Jennifer Granholm Liberalynn Oct 2012 #2

I dont see that davidn3600 Oct 2012 #17

The campaign rep explained it like this Liberalynn Oct 2012 #19

Just as the campaign said in September Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #3

Heard rush say this morning how pitiful the DNC was. Thinkingabout Oct 2012 #4

I am so proud that I am a democrat and I always feel sorry for those who are not, pennylane100 Oct 2012 #8

Think GWB with a basketball Blue Owl Oct 2012 #5

The biggest impact will have been the GOPs war on women. HooptieWagon Oct 2012 #6

The volatility we've been seeing... pointsoflight Oct 2012 #7

actually very little volatility. Romney consistently has a 44% hard ceiling. grantcart Oct 2012 #9

Agree that Obama will win 300+ EV's . But no way will he match his 53% from 2008. More like 50.7% IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ Oct 2012 #10

Obama, 358. See ya Nov 7th. ;) nt greyl Oct 2012 #11

2 billion changed a lot of hands, Joe Shlabotnik Oct 2012 #12

I agree with your basic premise rufus dog Oct 2012 #13

I wholeheartedly agree on Ryan being a mistake. I never understood Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2012 #14

I think if he had picked Rubio for VP it would be a whole different race. RedSpartan Oct 2012 #15

I'm just glad he didn't pick Portman or Rubio ncav53 Oct 2012 #16

I disagree, that 1st debate definitely made this a closer race than it needed to be... smorkingapple Oct 2012 #18

Agreed about the first debate ItsTheMediaStupid Oct 2012 #20

An 8 point win with only 318 EV's? Dawson Leery Oct 2012 #21