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2016 Postmortem

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factfinder_77

(841 posts)
Tue May 3, 2016, 03:23 PM May 2016

WV poll: Sanders leading 45% to 37%, Clinton 52/41 with liberals..Sanders 36/19 with conservatives [View all]

This is a weird WH poll from ppp.

On the Democratic side Bernie Sanders is leading with 45% to 37% for Hillary Clinton. The 18% of voters who are undecided is unusually high and speaks to the number of registered Democrats in West Virginia who don't really identify with the national party at this point. Among the undecideds Sanders has a 15/77 favorability rating and Clinton's even worse off at 12/84 so there may end up being a decent mass of voters who just don't vote for either of the candidates.

West Virginia's the latest of open primary states or semi open primary states where we find Clinton ahead with Democrats (43/41) but losing overall because she's getting swamped with independents (56/19)

. Clinton is actually ahead 52/41 with liberals, but Sanders has the cumulative edge because he's up 55/31 with moderates and 36/19 with conservatives who in West Virginia are 22% of the primary electorate.

One thing Clinton does have going for her in West Virginia is that 79% of her voters are firmly committed to her, compared to 65% of Sanders' who say the same.

If she can peel off some of those weak Sanders supporters in the next week she still has a chance to take the state.


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/05/trump-sanders-lead-in-west-virginia.html
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A number of Bernie supporters I've run into are conservatives Dem2 May 2016 #1
it is easy to understand- On the political circle the far left and the far right come together snooper2 May 2016 #2
"Libertarians for Socialism"! Dem2 May 2016 #6
Penn Jillette likes Sanders. joshcryer May 2016 #12
Penn jillette is a d****** Dem2 May 2016 #19
I like his podcast. joshcryer May 2016 #25
I would not be proud of having support from conservative W Virginians. Hoyt May 2016 #3
Please keep that to yourself as any general election candidate needs some. ViseGrip May 2016 #7
Not really. Hoyt May 2016 #9
NNNNNNNNNNNNoooooooo uponit7771 May 2016 #22
Remember how much they despised Obama in 08 and 12? Cali_Democrat May 2016 #8
That just shows how little understanding you have tech3149 May 2016 #18
I suggest you read about racism in "conservative" states. Hoyt May 2016 #24
Clinton has a more REAL Progressive Plan. nt fun n serious May 2016 #4
Yeah, I know some former Paulites who are now enthusiastic Bernie Bros ContinentalOp May 2016 #5
What happened to his 30 point lead in WV? MattP May 2016 #10
Don Blankenship (of Upper Big Branch Mine infamy)was among the anti-HRC protesters in Williamson,WV Tanuki May 2016 #11
Why do we care about WV? DCBob May 2016 #13
WV democrats are notorious for being very conservative. dubyadiprecession May 2016 #14
West Virginia polls have been all over the place. NuclearDem May 2016 #15
Sanders has already won what were the 4 'reddest' states in 2012. Garrett78 May 2016 #16
You mean those unrepresentative caucuses - WA is a semi closed primary factfinder_77 May 2016 #17
I think at least 1 of the 4 had a primary and not a caucus. Garrett78 May 2016 #20
+1 uponit7771 May 2016 #23
West Virginia has less than 4% black people, so Bernie's chances are excellent. n/t pnwmom May 2016 #21
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