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2016 Postmortem

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babylonsister

(172,671 posts)
Thu May 5, 2016, 06:54 PM May 2016

538: Americans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking [View all]


Americans’ Distaste For Both Trump And Clinton Is Record-Breaking

By Harry Enten


The Democratic primary will technically march on, but Hillary Clinton is almost certainly going to be her party’s nominee. Same with Donald Trump. And voters don’t appear thrilled at the prospect: Clinton and Trump are both more strongly disliked than any nominee at this point in the past 10 presidential cycles.

Normally, when we talk about candidate likability, we use favorability ratings, which combine “strongly favorable,” “somewhat favorable,” “somewhat unfavorable” and “strongly unfavorable.” But that didn’t work so well in the Republican primary, where Trump was able to win despite a relatively low net favorability rating because his “strongly favorable” rating with Republican primary voters was among the highest in the field. So let’s look at Trump and Clinton’s “strongly1 favorable” and “strongly unfavorable” ratings among general election voters.2

These are people who don’t just like or dislike the candidates, they really like or dislike them.

No past candidate comes close to Clinton, and especially Trump, in terms of engendering strong dislike a little more than six months before the election.

more...

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-distaste-for-both-trump-and-clinton-is-record-breaking/
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