2016 Postmortem

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)

97. Damn....Ohio really is a must-win for us.

Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:55 PM

Oct 2012

I mean, yes, I know we can still get to 270 without Ohio, but it will be a VERY tall order. We need to try very hard with our GOTV efforts in Ohio and secure its 18 electoral votes.

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So, on a scale of 1-10, how confident are you about next Tuesday? [View all] Adenoid_Hynkel Oct 2012 OP

7 TexasCPA Oct 2012 #1

6 HereSince1628 Oct 2012 #7

My memory is failing me but wasn't Walker always a few points ahead in the polls leading up to that leftylauren Oct 2012 #41

Yes, Walker consistently led throughout the recall campaign last spring BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #74

The Final RCP Average Showed Walker Beating Barrett by 6.6%/nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #86

Don't forget though Proud Liberal Dem Oct 2012 #64

10 madaboutharry Oct 2012 #2

Don't ever say 10 Ter Oct 2012 #6

I don't believe in jinxes. madaboutharry Oct 2012 #42

OK, but how can you be so sure? Ter Oct 2012 #48

Don't be, it's going to be ok! madaboutharry Oct 2012 #73

Karl Rove is GONNA GET YOU Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #108

6 feels right, for now flowomo Oct 2012 #3

10 MichiganVote Oct 2012 #4

9.999 WI_DEM Oct 2012 #5

Having Gov Christie campaigning for President Obama sure is nice! mucifer Oct 2012 #8

+1 krawhitham Oct 2012 #24

7 Floyd_Gondolli Oct 2012 #9

10 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #10

7 - 8 if not for fear of election fraud AndyA Oct 2012 #11

me too n/t renate Oct 2012 #82

8 rug Oct 2012 #12

10 still_one Oct 2012 #13

11 - if that's not obvious by now... Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #14

6 TheCowsCameHome Oct 2012 #15

My confidence meter Summer Hathaway Oct 2012 #16

About 7.29 phleshdef Oct 2012 #17

8. TDale313 Oct 2012 #18

8 Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #19

I'm at an 8 chadnky Oct 2012 #20

I'll say 9 octoberlib Oct 2012 #21

8 krawhitham Oct 2012 #22

6.5 mil_5529dem Oct 2012 #23

10 angrychair Oct 2012 #25

9.99999999999999999999 oh hell 10! hrmjustin Oct 2012 #26

9...... SingleSeatBiggerMeat Oct 2012 #27

Since Global warming is irrelevant ... GeorgeGist Oct 2012 #28

10 demOcrat11 Oct 2012 #29

6 Angry Dragon Oct 2012 #30

9.9999 Pisces Oct 2012 #31

Nate Silver has calculated that I am an 8.9 underpants Oct 2012 #32

8.5 leftylauren Oct 2012 #33

7-3/8 tularetom Oct 2012 #34

6 - I just don't trust the machines... kerouac2 Oct 2012 #35

we dont "need" OH or FL which are easiest for them to manipulate. Phx_Dem Oct 2012 #52

I mention Ohio specifically because of the guarantee they made awhile back. kerouac2 Oct 2012 #112

11 morningfog Oct 2012 #36

Why not just 10? demwing Oct 2012 #77

Cautiously optimistic....so I guess 6 davidn3600 Oct 2012 #37

9.5 tweeternik Oct 2012 #38

An easy 9 - thanks to Nate! WestSeattle2 Oct 2012 #39

8.5 ItsTheMediaStupid Oct 2012 #40

6 for POTUS, 7 for Senate, 3 for House Fresh_Start Oct 2012 #43

6 nt helpisontheway Oct 2012 #44

8 MFM008 Oct 2012 #45

6.7. But, a lot can happen that swings vote. Hoyt Oct 2012 #46

6 LiberalElite Oct 2012 #47

9. Phx_Dem Oct 2012 #49

6. BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #50

Confident enough to knock doors daily trying to GOTV struggle4progress Oct 2012 #51

5-7 cdb Oct 2012 #53

i like pi. BlueMan Votes Oct 2012 #54

I'd say a 7 to 8... more towards 8. Even RCP has O/B winning. blue-kite Oct 2012 #55

About 8.5.... WCGreen Oct 2012 #56

Seems to be holding at 6.5 PlanetBev Oct 2012 #57

4 trixie Oct 2012 #58

11 Lucinda Oct 2012 #59

8-9 Proud Liberal Dem Oct 2012 #60

9.9 DCBob Oct 2012 #61

From the looks of early voting , I don't think you can stop them from showing up. Ikonoklast Oct 2012 #63

Wow have you just ignored all the EV over the Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #109

Did you ignore the 9.9?? DCBob Oct 2012 #111

There is something else to worry about.... sofa king Oct 2012 #118

11 RomneyLies Oct 2012 #62

10+ for President Obama & I pray his surge knocks people like Bachmann right off their damn thrones Sunlei Oct 2012 #65

4 Obama won't carry Ohio, I hope a couple other sates can put him over. n/t doc03 Oct 2012 #66

Why do you feel Obama won't win Ohio? BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #76

The manufacturing areas of the state have been decimated over doc03 Oct 2012 #78

Damn....Ohio really is a must-win for us. BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #97

8.5 obamanut2012 Oct 2012 #67

7 budkin Oct 2012 #68

I feel like a 7.5 SEMOVoter Oct 2012 #69

At present 6. 7 Third Doctor Oct 2012 #70

8+ quaker bill Oct 2012 #71

10, a freaking 10. I suppose if I'm wrong, I will be very, very shocked. johnnyrocket Oct 2012 #72

10 ncav53 Oct 2012 #75

9 Zoeisright Oct 2012 #79

"We go to eleven." reflection Oct 2012 #80

6 NEDem Oct 2012 #81

9 smackd Oct 2012 #83

I'm As Confident O Will Win As I Was Confident My Heat Would Slap Around The Celtics DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #84

9 ChangeUp106 Oct 2012 #85

I'm feeling nine points of confidence about 303-235. Posteritatis Oct 2012 #87

6.5, cautiously optimistic, but still nervous enough to be taking the ativan tuesday(no lie. :( ) cecilfirefox Oct 2012 #88

8 faithfulcitizen Oct 2012 #89

9.8 sofa king Oct 2012 #90

8.8 flamingdem Oct 2012 #91

In my state 10. Nationwide... I dunno. sakabatou Oct 2012 #92

10 n/t courseofhistory Oct 2012 #93

8 smitra Oct 2012 #94

9 Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #95

8 Rowdyboy Oct 2012 #96

A pitiful SLCLiberal Oct 2012 #98

5- polls are not encouraging. trouble.smith Oct 2012 #99

Huh?? The state polling has been especially strong lately. Bleacher Creature Oct 2012 #100

The states that matter look pretty close to me-Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. trouble.smith Oct 2012 #104

7ish. NCLefty Oct 2012 #101

8.24 Tree-Hugger Oct 2012 #102

4+ rayofreason Oct 2012 #103

Ridiculous TheSlayer Oct 2012 #105

"threats and violence" rayofreason Oct 2012 #110

Bedwetters/nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #114

5 mzmolly Oct 2012 #106

Thanks for playing, folks Adenoid_Hynkel Oct 2012 #107

I'm Around JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #113

... 8....... nt ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2012 #115

I Have Called Every Presidential Election Since 68 Right And I'm Giving Obama A 10/nt DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #116

I'm at an 8. nt. anijh Oct 2012 #117

8, and could grow even higher mvd Oct 2012 #119