2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: "Sanders lost" [View all]LonePirate
(13,419 posts)There is no indication Bernie will receive the 66% minimum he needs in both KY and OR in order to catch up. That means he will need roughly 70% or more in the next contest in PR on June 5. There's nothing to indicate he will obtain that so he will need over 70% in every state on June 7. He's not going to reach 50% in NJ so even if he hits 70% in the four small states, he will still need 75% in CA - which is an impossibility.
His quest for the nomination is a quixotic one. If he loses both KY and OR (which I don't think will happen but if it does), there will be intensified calls on him to concede. There is no viable path for him today, let alone if he loses both states on Tuesday. It's time for the "or bust" crowd to put up or shut up, as the saying goes.