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2016 Postmortem

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Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
Fri Nov 2, 2012, 12:40 AM Nov 2012

What the final campaign stops tell us... [View all]

1) Obama is not worried about Pennsylvania or Michigan going Romney. He's not campaigning in either between now and election day.

2) The campaign probably doesn't think it's going to win North Carolina. No campaigning there, either.

3) They're not putting the full-court press on Virginia this go around. Obama ended his campaign in VA four years ago. He only has one stop between now and election day.

4) Wisconsin is probably tight. Obama was there today, he'll be there Saturday and he'll hold another rally there Monday night.

5) Obama is still fighting for Florida, but they view it less important than Ohio. So, either they feel it's locked up (not so sure) or that Romney still has an advantage and they don't want to risk giving Romney an opening in Ohio.

6) Iowa is a state the Obama campaign really wants to win. They'll be there Saturday ... and then the campaign officially will end in Des Moines.

7) Obama must feel good about Nevada. He's only making one stop there (today). Colorado he's at right now and will be at again Sunday ... so, the campaign probably believes they can win it.

8) It's still about Ohio. Obama will spend all day there tomorrow, will campaign in Mentor Saturday, Cincinatti Sunday and Columbus Monday. That's Ohio every day between now and the election.

The final stretch breaks down like this:

1 visit: Virginia (Saturday), Florida (Sunday), Nevada (Today), New Hampshire (Sunday)
2 visits: Iowa (Saturday, Monday), Colorado (Today, Sunday)
3 visits: Wisconsin (Today, Saturday, Monday)
6 visits: Ohio (Friday - 3 times, Saturday, Sunday, Monday)

Here's Romney's schedule:

Friday: Wisconsin, Ohio, Ohio
Saturday: New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, Colorado
Sunday: No events yet
Monday: Ohio, New Hampshire (his final rally)

Odd both campaigns aren't scheduled to campaign much in Florida. Romney really wants New Hampshire.

What does this tell me? I don't know. So, what does it tell you?!?


31 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What the final campaign stops tell us... [View all] Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 OP
Edit suggestion... Agschmid Nov 2012 #1
THIS ELECTION IS MAKING ME SEE SPOTS! Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #3
Totally agree! Agschmid Nov 2012 #5
tells us where they are going to be on those dates nt msongs Nov 2012 #2
Obama New Hampshire stop is in Concord. Agschmid Nov 2012 #8
This is what it tells me, my dear Drunken Irishman... CaliforniaPeggy Nov 2012 #4
Someday, the West Coast will be relevant to the US election... Scootaloo Nov 2012 #6
One stop in NV, one stop in VA Bleacher Creature Nov 2012 #7
Yeah, I really don't know what to make of VA. Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #10
Same here. Bleacher Creature Nov 2012 #12
Nice breakdown Floyd_Gondolli Nov 2012 #9
I'll fine tune Ohio for you alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #11
It's all about the greater Columbus area right? TeamPooka Nov 2012 #16
Bill Clinton is covering Florida, see below Tx4obama Nov 2012 #13
Where's Joe Biden going to be? TeamPooka Nov 2012 #17
Joe Biden's schedule for tomorrow, Friday Tx4obama Nov 2012 #19
Thank you Tex. TeamPooka Nov 2012 #27
Obama's last political rally will be in Des Moines on Monday evening. nevergiveup Nov 2012 #14
Lawrence just said Mitt is going to PA marlakay Nov 2012 #15
And Romney has surrogates heading to Florida Tx4obama Nov 2012 #18
KNR..this thread is informative and fascinating! Cha Nov 2012 #20
Obama is concentrating on most likely to win states. LisaL Nov 2012 #22
And, there It IS! thanks LisaL! Cha Nov 2012 #24
It tells me that public polling is pretty accurate Azathoth Nov 2012 #21
NC is not gone. LisaL Nov 2012 #23
It's gone from a stategist's point of view Azathoth Nov 2012 #25
Well according to Nate Silver, NC is the least likely to win state of the swing states. LisaL Nov 2012 #26
My gut tells me VA and FL are leaning Obama. Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #28
I feel good about Virginia Azathoth Nov 2012 #29
FL is a state I could see going either way. Early voting has me optimistic, tho. Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #30
I think that mapping campaign visits and trying to do an interpretation on what is happening grantcart Nov 2012 #31
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