2016 Postmortem

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

28. My gut tells me VA and FL are leaning Obama.

Fri Nov 2, 2012, 02:29 AM

Nov 2012

But their best bet is still Ohio because they have a solid lead there. I don't think they want to risk Ohio drifting Romney why they try to run up the score in Virginia and Florida. Likewise, I suspect Romney doesn't want to focus too hard on those two states knowing he still needs Ohio. Basically, I bet both campaigns are leaving each state to chance and their ground game. It's risky for Romney, not so much Obama because he doesn't need either.

But like you said, he's not up enough to run up the score like he did in '08. In his final leg of the campaign, Obama campaigned in North Carolina, Florida and Virginia ... ending in Virginia. This year? It's Wisconsin, Ohio and Iowa.

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What the final campaign stops tell us... [View all] Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 OP

Edit suggestion... Agschmid Nov 2012 #1

THIS ELECTION IS MAKING ME SEE SPOTS! Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #3

Totally agree! Agschmid Nov 2012 #5

tells us where they are going to be on those dates nt msongs Nov 2012 #2

Obama New Hampshire stop is in Concord. Agschmid Nov 2012 #8

This is what it tells me, my dear Drunken Irishman... CaliforniaPeggy Nov 2012 #4

Someday, the West Coast will be relevant to the US election... Scootaloo Nov 2012 #6

One stop in NV, one stop in VA Bleacher Creature Nov 2012 #7

Yeah, I really don't know what to make of VA. Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #10

Same here. Bleacher Creature Nov 2012 #12

Nice breakdown Floyd_Gondolli Nov 2012 #9

I'll fine tune Ohio for you alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #11

It's all about the greater Columbus area right? TeamPooka Nov 2012 #16

Bill Clinton is covering Florida, see below Tx4obama Nov 2012 #13

Where's Joe Biden going to be? TeamPooka Nov 2012 #17

Joe Biden's schedule for tomorrow, Friday Tx4obama Nov 2012 #19

Thank you Tex. TeamPooka Nov 2012 #27

Obama's last political rally will be in Des Moines on Monday evening. nevergiveup Nov 2012 #14

Lawrence just said Mitt is going to PA marlakay Nov 2012 #15

And Romney has surrogates heading to Florida Tx4obama Nov 2012 #18

KNR..this thread is informative and fascinating! Cha Nov 2012 #20

Obama is concentrating on most likely to win states. LisaL Nov 2012 #22

And, there It IS! thanks LisaL! Cha Nov 2012 #24

It tells me that public polling is pretty accurate Azathoth Nov 2012 #21

NC is not gone. LisaL Nov 2012 #23

It's gone from a stategist's point of view Azathoth Nov 2012 #25

Well according to Nate Silver, NC is the least likely to win state of the swing states. LisaL Nov 2012 #26

My gut tells me VA and FL are leaning Obama. Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #28

I feel good about Virginia Azathoth Nov 2012 #29

FL is a state I could see going either way. Early voting has me optimistic, tho. Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #30

I think that mapping campaign visits and trying to do an interpretation on what is happening grantcart Nov 2012 #31