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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Hypothetical GE match-up polling is meaningless at this juncture. [View all]Garrett78
(10,721 posts)27. First of all, elections aren't held then, which is sort of the point.
When candidates are vying for their party's nomination, looking at hypothetical general election match-up polling is a waste of time. A 1-on-1 general election campaign (with a whole new media focus, debates, etc.) is a completely different dynamic.
Secondly, I don't agree with your assumption that those folks would have won just because polls showed them being ahead.
Thirdly, these aren't exceptions to the rule. They *are* the rule. Dukakis, Bush, Kerry, McCain, Romney. I didn't mention Gore (and I'm hesitant to mention Kerry) because I think Gore *did* essentially win. In virtually every case, not only did the predicted winner lose, he lost in an electoral college landslide. More than likely, that will be Trump's fate, as well.
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You're entitled to your opinion. Thanks for letting us know how uncomfortable Bernie's polls make
JudyM
May 2016
#2
I wouldn't say they make us nervous as much as it bugs us that you people use them as a way
anotherproletariat
May 2016
#10
I stopped reading at "never vetted." You just lost all credibility. She found nothing to hit him
JudyM
May 2016
#11
People do not know him. The Repubs will keep on saying "Socialist" or "former Socialist" then
kerry-is-my-prez
May 2016
#16
Just how would electing Sanders take power from the corporations? The President can only veto and
kerry-is-my-prez
May 2016
#31
False, I linked the RCP polling average for McCain and Romney. Obama was beating them at this point.
icecreamfan
May 2016
#30
Seriously? Averaging polls doesn't give a better picture than individual polls?
icecreamfan
May 2016
#34
Where was your tut tutting of the Clinton polls being rolled out four years ago?
TheKentuckian
May 2016
#4
I'm trying to get people to stop posting meaningless garbage as if it's meaningful.
Garrett78
May 2016
#17
And she doesn't need the white millennials, male voters, nor the women with whom she has an
insta8er
May 2016
#8
Well it's not "meaningless" it's just historically not a great predictor of November
Recursion
May 2016
#9
There's kids who weren't around for McGovern, Mondale, and Dukakis. Also people who can afford
kerry-is-my-prez
May 2016
#20
It's kind of sad, but I'm sure there are still a lot of folks who don't know who Sanders is.
Garrett78
May 2016
#29