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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: ELECTION SPOILER: Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE [View all]johnlucas
(1,250 posts)90. Thank you Stardust. Let's look at Obama's Electoral Count in 2008 right quick
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2008
In the 2008 election, Obama had 365 Electoral Votes compared to John McCain's 173.
He did that with a 7% margin in the Popular Vote.
I'm counting on him flipping a few more states this time around looking especially at Arizona while considering longshots like Georgia.
That Popular Vote lead of 15% to 20% points to that kind of victory.
So in all honesty, 337 is actually very low for Obama.
He might come closer to 400 when it's all said & done.
I know Obama's base has expanded & is enthusiastic in turnout this election.
This current news about Miami-Dade trying to close the doors on early voters proves this.
The pictures I saw of SQUADS of people in Florida in line for blocks proves this.
Romney's base is virtually static with McCain's in 2008.
Romney's getting the same people as McCain's last time while Obama got more people & even some of McCain's.
And they're more fearful than enthusiastic.
Oh you KNOW I'll be back to say my piece after the results come in.
Even at a number like 337 it's a wipeout for Romney.
538 337 = 201.
That's nearly 63% of the total Electoral Count.
The Electoral Count was always guaranteed.
The Popular Vote will REALLY shut the haters down.
They will KNOW for SURE it's over then.
John Lucas
In the 2008 election, Obama had 365 Electoral Votes compared to John McCain's 173.
He did that with a 7% margin in the Popular Vote.
I'm counting on him flipping a few more states this time around looking especially at Arizona while considering longshots like Georgia.
That Popular Vote lead of 15% to 20% points to that kind of victory.
So in all honesty, 337 is actually very low for Obama.
He might come closer to 400 when it's all said & done.
I know Obama's base has expanded & is enthusiastic in turnout this election.
This current news about Miami-Dade trying to close the doors on early voters proves this.
The pictures I saw of SQUADS of people in Florida in line for blocks proves this.
Romney's base is virtually static with McCain's in 2008.
Romney's getting the same people as McCain's last time while Obama got more people & even some of McCain's.
And they're more fearful than enthusiastic.
Oh you KNOW I'll be back to say my piece after the results come in.
Even at a number like 337 it's a wipeout for Romney.
538 337 = 201.
That's nearly 63% of the total Electoral Count.
The Electoral Count was always guaranteed.
The Popular Vote will REALLY shut the haters down.
They will KNOW for SURE it's over then.
John Lucas
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If everybody votes, or GETS to vote, you are right -- if they count the votes!
immoderate
Oct 2012
#4
Quit thinking of the Republicans as Masterminds. They're just unchallenged crooks
johnlucas
Oct 2012
#5
+1,000. I think I'm going to click on this thread and your strong words every day! Thanks for this.
freshwest
Nov 2012
#79
These polls only measure a sample of voters. None ask the whole country how they feel
johnlucas
Oct 2012
#11
You really think President Obama's share of the popular vote will jump 13 percent over 2008
onenote
Oct 2012
#38
Not a landslide, but a win nonetheless. And yes, all this pussy wussying over ONE debate is INSANE.
RBInMaine
Oct 2012
#16
Cynicism was pushed as being smart in 2010 and we can see what that got us, the
freshwest
Nov 2012
#98
Hmm, maybe if the Romney campaign has a big upcoming blunder or October surprise to its detriment.
anAustralianobserver
Oct 2012
#33
To this day, I still get a kick out of Rick Santorum's "Blah People" comment.
CheapShotArtist
Oct 2012
#34
I like how you think, and I'm bookmarking your thread to keep you honest!
CaliforniaPeggy
Oct 2012
#45
This one's for you, Edith Childs. From the band Fojeba with their Afro-Latino beat!
johnlucas
Nov 2012
#120
Nov. 5th is here & Obama will continue slapping the taste out of Romney's mouth on Nov. 6th
johnlucas
Nov 2012
#119
That's right. Halloween masks have predicted the winner of elections for years now
johnlucas
Oct 2012
#70
Let's keep laughing all the way! The universe rewards the purest love. Or something like that.
freshwest
Nov 2012
#91
'We will have the last laugh & our purest love will be rewarded by the universe.'
freshwest
Nov 2012
#94
What an amazing analysis! I agree with you 100%, but election fraud still scares the hell out of
Stardust
Nov 2012
#89
Thank you Stardust. Let's look at Obama's Electoral Count in 2008 right quick
johnlucas
Nov 2012
#90
Words to live by! Why manage others' lives? Too much time on their hands, maybe.
freshwest
Nov 2012
#122