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thesquanderer

(12,872 posts)
16. He's very unlikely to get NJ, whether he does more campaigning there or not.
Thu Jun 2, 2016, 12:54 PM
Jun 2016

It's a closed primary, much of it is practically a suburb of New York City which he lost badly (though NJ doesn't have the ridiculous requirement of having had to declare your party affiliation 6 months ahead of time).

To some extent, it might be a zero sum game... any delegates he might pick up by campaigning more in NJ could be offset by delegate he might lose by campaigning less in CA.

But beyond the delegate count, there's the PR of winning a state. Right now, I think he wants to try as hard as he can to win CA, and everything else is secondary. He could spend a bunch of time in NJ, maybe pick up some delegates, but would still probably lose the state... and that time away from CA would make it harder to win that one. Much better win one of the two than neither of them. So I think it's all about trying to get CA into the win column. He's got the better shot there, and it's got more delegates, besides.

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I don't see Bernie in NJ firebrand80 Jun 2016 #1
I just saw Bernie and Jane not racing to New Jersey...maybe they think it's hopeless... brooklynite Jun 2016 #2
If you would like to equate the two SheenaR Jun 2016 #4
I'll certainly acknowledge that California is bigger than NJ...but Sanders needs both brooklynite Jun 2016 #5
He is tossing NJ....No question. SheenaR Jun 2016 #8
He's very unlikely to get NJ, whether he does more campaigning there or not. thesquanderer Jun 2016 #16
I'm sure we'll all hear about how racist it was of him to ignore NJ. frylock Jun 2016 #21
Luckily (?) for him, CA is pretty diverse. thesquanderer Jun 2016 #24
I thought the same about Hillary and Oregon. NWCorona Jun 2016 #15
30 events in 5 days for the Clintons SheenaR Jun 2016 #3
A clear act of desperation. Don't be so quick to declare the General Election has begun. imagine2015 Jun 2016 #6
I'm on your side there. I think it's funny that they are getting nervous SheenaR Jun 2016 #9
Because this is about more than the primaries. TwilightZone Jun 2016 #7
I don't buy it SheenaR Jun 2016 #12
This. frylock Jun 2016 #22
and no debate ... MisterP Jun 2016 #10
Every ad run and at every event she is taking about Trump. bettyellen Jun 2016 #17
Ok, I'll go by your theory then SheenaR Jun 2016 #18
She is talking about the GE wherever she goes- where she is doesn't matter as much as what she says bettyellen Jun 2016 #19
K & R AzDar Jun 2016 #11
Bernie flatters himself. Lil Missy Jun 2016 #13
. Rex Jun 2016 #14
I wonder how much difference their "events" will make. One reporter on Thom Hartmann said pdsimdars Jun 2016 #20
The real campaign is just beginning. MineralMan Jun 2016 #23
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Sanders: "I Just saw Hill...»Reply #16