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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: NC raw data ( final early vote tally ) [View all]CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)22. It's the same type of numbers in Iowa...
Our DEMOCRATIC early voting numbers, today in 2012, are surpassing our 2008 numbers.
Ok, that's huge. 2008 was a juggernaut. No one EVER expected that 2012 numbers would surpass 2008. But they are.
And so far, in early voting Registered Dems are ahead by 20 percent of Registered Republicans.
It's simply stunning. I'm in the swing state of Iowa.
No wonder Axelrod went on Fox News and gloated about Romney not being able to catch up in Ohio.
No wonder Obama is rocking out and dancing and singing on stage--at his campaigns.
They know they've got this.
The numbers are all falling Obama's way--like an avalanche of HELL YES!!!!
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Gravis says that the Republicans are up by 9. Silver says 80% Romney probability
grantcart
Nov 2012
#2
As far as Nate is concerned, his data is based on polls and some state internals
MyNameIsKhan
Nov 2012
#5
A predictive model that is accurate for Hawaii and Utah but cannot get it close in NC
grantcart
Nov 2012
#12
This is exactly why the Obama campaign sent Bill Clinton today & Michelle Obama tomorrow. nt
Lex
Nov 2012
#20
Wow, Iowa, FL, Nevada, and NC Dems have done awesome job of Early Voting. Come on Ohio, do us proud!
VirginiaTarheel
Nov 2012
#26
thanks, great analysis,we now have a visual template,this will booster our confidence n\t
-LOKI -BAD FOR YA
Nov 2012
#54