Early voting turnout in North Carolina EXCEEDS 2008!

[FBaggins]

25. No... it really doesn't.

We won the early vote by 16%, but we won it by 21% four years ago and barely won the state by the skin of our teeth. To put it in raw figures, there were 435,000 more democrats than republicans... but in 2008 there were 555,000 more democrats (and we only won by 14,000). The obvious factor that many keep ignoring is that a vote by a registered democrat in NC is not as likely to be a vote for the democratic candidate for president as it is in some other states.

So we're likely to lose the state narrowly. What is good news is that it's hard to think of a scenario where Romney wins NC by only 3%, but somehow wins VA & OH - let alone PA/MI/etc.