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2016 Postmortem

gcomeau

(5,764 posts)

22. Go ahead and say it's "too close to call" then.

Reply to Mass (Reply #19)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 02:29 PM

Nov 2012

But saying the poll says the race is tied is factually, objectively, wrong. It's math. 2+2 =/=5. Gallup says Romney is up by 1, not that the race is tied. PPP says Obama is up by 2, not that the racer is tied. Etc...

The polls say what the polls say. you can make arguments that they're wrong,. And in Gallup's case the arguments are pretty good. But that's Gallup being wrong, not Gallup SAYING the race is tied. Ok?

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Gallup: 49 Romney 48 Obama; they call it a "tie" [View all] VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 OP

where are you seeing this? thanks. jezebel Nov 2012 #1

margin of error n/t Enrique Nov 2012 #2

Only a "tie" if it is a one time poll. yellowcanine Nov 2012 #3

Gallup is showing Romney ahead, which conflicts with every other non-tracking poll. nt geek tragedy Nov 2012 #11

Did they give a result or are you guessing?\nt Mass Nov 2012 #4

its coming from Editor Frank Newport MadBadger Nov 2012 #7

Way better than last R+5 tracking poll which RCP is STILL using DemsUnited Nov 2012 #5

They had to come down off their cliff BeyondGeography Nov 2012 #6

It is a tie, given the MOE. And it is one of only 2 national polls giving Romney ahead. Mass Nov 2012 #8

No it isn't. gcomeau Nov 2012 #17

Sorry, I call it as I see it, This poll shows Romney by 1, which, given polls are not exact science, Mass Nov 2012 #19

Go ahead and say it's "too close to call" then. gcomeau Nov 2012 #22

Complain to Gallup. They called their poll a tie. Mass Nov 2012 #24

Of course they did. It's the popular thing to do and it covers their asses. gcomeau Nov 2012 #25

Are you aware of how a sample works? blueclown Nov 2012 #27

Yes. gcomeau Nov 2012 #28

Gallup and Ras, the two most R-friendly pollsters, can only manage a +1 the day before election day. VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 #9

Gallup sucks TexasCPA Nov 2012 #10

So Gallup says it has gone from Romney up by 7 about a week ago to only up by 1? VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 #12

They're still going over the waterfall with (R)-Assmussen. geek tragedy Nov 2012 #13

Didn't you read your right wing talking points? aaaaaa5a Nov 2012 #15

Yup. A 7 point swing in a week. They had to do it or be seen as totally outside the norm of the Jennicut Nov 2012 #21

I don't see this poll mentioned on Gallup site as of yet... zebe83 Nov 2012 #14

new Gallup poll bluesoul Nov 2012 #16

Thanks.... zebe83 Nov 2012 #18

Well considering we DON"T use the popular vote, who really cares?? nt progressivebydesign Nov 2012 #20

Gallup is a joke libguyob_19556dd Nov 2012 #23

I agree and welcome to DU! hrmjustin Nov 2012 #26

Full Gallup results-Likely Voters-R49%(-2) O48%(+2) Registered voters-O49%(+1) R46%(-2) VirginiaTarheel Nov 2012 #29

You got to love RCP TexasCPA Nov 2012 #30