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onenote

(46,238 posts)
11. with the exception of 2008, turnout appears to be only slightly down from prior years
Wed Jun 8, 2016, 02:39 PM
Jun 2016

Using information found on the California Secretary of State's website, and ignoring 2012 and 1996, when there was an essentially unopposed incumbent President on the ballot (and thus turnout was very low), turnout has ranged from around 43 percent to 48 percent. This year, it appears to have been slightly above 42 percent. Low, but not outrageously so.

(The odd year was 2012 when, as was the case nationwide, turnout in the Democratic primary was crazy high -- over 74 percent). Given that this year's primary was at the end of the process when it was essentially known who was going to have a majority of the pledged delegates and, even without the announcement on Monday, it had been widely reported over the preceding weekend that Clinton was on the verge of hitting 2383 with pledged delegates and SD commitments and would exceed that number based on the results in NJ before CA was even counted), I would think that expectations for turnout had already begun dropping before the Monday announcement. Thus, it's hard to say if it was lower than "expected."

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What was the turnout in California? [View all] democrattotheend Jun 2016 OP
30% down from Obama/Hillary nt Jennylynn Jun 2016 #1
How is that possible with the surge? Skink Jun 2016 #4
They're saying it was the AP story. If I find the link I'll post it here. Jennylynn Jun 2016 #5
Something worked. Skink Jun 2016 #6
I posted the link. Jennylynn Jun 2016 #7
What surge? If you mean the surge of new registrations, registered to vote doesn't mean showing up. Lord Magus Jun 2016 #9
As has been proven repeatedly this entire campaign season TwilightZone Jun 2016 #15
Obama/Clinton turnout was a historically large number by a big big margin. onenote Jun 2016 #10
I was on a conference call for Hillary volunteers in my county (in CA) this morning, anotherproletariat Jun 2016 #2
Interesting democrattotheend Jun 2016 #3
Nah! AP is press. That's what they do, try to be the first to break a story. brush Jun 2016 #8
That's what I basically said democrattotheend Jun 2016 #13
Probably it is what it is - a news organization trying to get a scoop Algernon Moncrieff Jun 2016 #22
She never campaigned in Oregon at all, never asked for our votes and this is a closed Primary Bluenorthwest Jun 2016 #12
We don't matter up here. Lizzie Poppet Jun 2016 #14
I think that had more to do with allocating resources brush Jun 2016 #16
Oh puhleeze. If her internals predicted that win, she and Bill wouldn't have scurried out there to JudyM Jun 2016 #17
and if the internals predicted she'd lose, why was Bernie spending time in CA and not in NJ? onenote Jun 2016 #19
Bernie didn't suddenly change plans. He was out there for an extended period as planned. JudyM Jun 2016 #23
All I know is that they referred to "internal polls from over the weekend" anotherproletariat Jun 2016 #21
I understand. It seems that's exactly what they "would" say, though, was my point. JudyM Jun 2016 #24
She went to CA because she knew NJ would be a blowout in her favor. LonePirate Jun 2016 #26
NJ wasn't competitive. California was. Zynx Jun 2016 #27
with the exception of 2008, turnout appears to be only slightly down from prior years onenote Jun 2016 #11
Right. So many people only go to vote the top Hortensis Jun 2016 #18
Lower. I don't know about the expected part. Food for thought... ancianita Jun 2016 #20
There are 18 million registered voters period, not newly registered voters. Zynx Jun 2016 #28
you think there were many people who supported Sanders but didn't vote for him but voted for other JI7 Jun 2016 #25
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