2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Bernie supporters.... [View all]CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)Most electoral votes won was in 1996 by the re-election of Bill Clintona total of 379.
I know.
However, and this site doesnt encourage discussions general addressing Republicans, I think Team Red has a disaster with their top nominee Donald Trump.
One way you can tell is when influential party figures are disavowing, claiming they will not support, the partys presidential nominee.
Donald Trump is the kind of Republican presidential nominee who can deliver a Democratic presidential landslide if 400range of electoral votes to the nominee from Team Blue.
Recent polls have Hillary Clinton at +11, +12, +14which, given 2008 and 2012 average of 130 million presidential votes cast, means winning by between 14.3 and 18.2 million raw votes nationwide. (In 2012, President Obama was re-elected by about 5 million nationwide.) That is a huge 2012-to-2016 Democratic shift. And any shift, in whichever partys direction, moves the map.
We are less than five months from scheduled Election DayNovember 8, 2016and the two parties conventions are next month. So, this may not be salvageable, like reducing down to 3 to 5 a deficit, for the GOP during the remaining timeframe.
Given the numerous landslide elections of the 20th centuryin which 400-vote landslides were reached in 1912, 1920, 1928, 1932, 1936, 1940, 1944, 1952, 1956, 1964, 1972, 1980, 1984, and 1988we are overdue for another landslide presidential election. It may happen here in 2016.