2016 Postmortem

LenaBaby61

(6,991 posts)

27. Uh uh...

Wed Jul 20, 2016, 08:43 PM

Jul 2016

They'll KEEP plunging if those leaning WAY-right Rasmussen, Gravis and Q-polls are thrown in there also.

Rasmussen continues to have tRump at least 7-8 points ahead of her in daily tracking.

PLEASE

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According to 538 Clinton's chances of winning the GE have plunged 17 points in 10 days [View all] woolldog Jul 2016 OP

Lets see after the conventions are over. bettyellen Jul 2016 #1

This data isn't even taking the convention into account. woolldog Jul 2016 #3

It's taking the Comey smear job into account. And the Dallas police killings pnwmom Jul 2016 #4

Yep, he drilled her good Cosmocat Jul 2016 #43

I think a lot of people weren't certain she was definately the nominee.... bettyellen Jul 2016 #6

538 also said to not get excited over midsummer polls. Hortensis Jul 2016 #25

Long Road citood Jul 2016 #39

Lol giftedgirl77 Jul 2016 #2

Some of this is thanks to Comey, and some just because of the convention MiniMe Jul 2016 #5

And the Dallas Police shootings and the "blue lives matter" people blaming Dems and gun control. pnwmom Jul 2016 #7

I remember thinking of politics like this at one point. NCTraveler Jul 2016 #8

Her chances dropped 17 points. RandySF Jul 2016 #9

Your math is right jcgoldie Jul 2016 #11

Yep. GoCubsGo Jul 2016 #17

The spread went from being +56 Clinton to +23 Clinton woolldog Jul 2016 #12

WTF jcgoldie Jul 2016 #14

I suggest you take a remedial mathematics course. eom MohRokTah Jul 2016 #16

It depends on whose math you are using. KMOD Jul 2016 #13

Uhm jcgoldie Jul 2016 #10

I've noticed you REALLY LOVE posting these negative things. MohRokTah Jul 2016 #15

Post removed Post removed Jul 2016 #34

I disagree with everything you've said. MohRokTah Jul 2016 #38

She had better get busy, and soon. TheCowsCameHome Jul 2016 #18

Maybe this could help? Kber Jul 2016 #19

Oh, you again. Dem2 Jul 2016 #20

this is concerning! zappaman Jul 2016 #21

Concernucopia! BobbyDrake Jul 2016 #24

Concern noted DesertRat Jul 2016 #22

... Grassy Knoll Jul 2016 #23

it will rise again... chillfactor Jul 2016 #26

Post removed Post removed Jul 2016 #35

I can't speak for elsewhere, but Hillary's "Trump in his own words" ad John Poet Jul 2016 #40

Uh uh... LenaBaby61 Jul 2016 #27

The 538 model adjusts for those house effects. nt woolldog Jul 2016 #31

You can only.... LenaBaby61 Jul 2016 #44

Should I be worried? Or frightened? Or merely concerned? NurseJackie Jul 2016 #28

Oh boy! Here you go again!! panic attack. book_worm Jul 2016 #29

Hillary's liklihood of winning will go up and down again and again lapucelle Jul 2016 #30

It's the lowest her chances of winning have been since 538 started forecasting this year's election. woolldog Jul 2016 #32

And it's awful numbers. Just awful. nolawarlock Jul 2016 #50

You again? leftofcool Jul 2016 #33

Obama beat Romney by 3.9% jamese777 Jul 2016 #36

The democratic convention is going to make trumps look like amateur hour... dubyadiprecession Jul 2016 #37

And this is relevant........ why? postatomic Jul 2016 #41

You better panic. Squinch Jul 2016 #42

He's already explained why Doctor Jack Jul 2016 #45

I think Camp Clinton is using a light touch now against Trump SticksnStones Jul 2016 #46

hard to take that seriously shireen Jul 2016 #47

The complacency in this thread is very scary. RAFisher Jul 2016 #48

Really? nolawarlock Jul 2016 #49

Wow DemonGoddess Jul 2016 #51

That's good news, actually. No one wants to peak early. stopbush Jul 2016 #52

Email MFM008 Jul 2016 #53