2016 Postmortem

SDJay

(1,089 posts)

11. About a 5.

Mon Jul 25, 2016, 01:19 PM

Jul 2016

I obviously understand the notion of 'convention bump' but I cannot for the life of me understand how in the world Drumpf could've gotten one on the heels of that utter debacle last week. The fact that he's even within shouting distance of HRC is confounding.

I've made it my personal mission to stomp out any signs of overconfidence or hubris on the part of folks I see in everyday life when they talk about how that 'buffoon' could never actually beat HRC. I remind them of other 'buffoons' such as Dubya and St. Ronnie.

We've got a lot of work to do, starting with this week. I can't imagine this convention won't look like a totally different ballgame to the country as compared to last week's fiasco, so hopefully HRC's convention bump will send her zooming past the Yammering Yam for good.

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On a scale of 0-10, how worried are you about Trump winning? [View all] mvd Jul 2016 OP

I would be around three as well. drray23 Jul 2016 #1

With that reactive ignoramus running, my needle's on 10 every day. piechartking Jul 2016 #2

Yep. nt kstewart33 Jul 2016 #23

1 or 2 DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2016 #3

We should have a great convention that provides a stark contrast to people mvd Jul 2016 #8

0-1 bigwillq Jul 2016 #4

Zero Cali_Democrat Jul 2016 #5

Even Nate Silver wouldn't commit like that if the odds were 99.5% in HRC's favor. It's reckless. TheBlackAdder Jul 2016 #24

I gave my opinion. That's all Cali_Democrat Jul 2016 #31

It leads one to believe there is a Democratic Bubble, impervious to non-Democratic events. TheBlackAdder Jul 2016 #36

People are free to believe whatever they want. nt Cali_Democrat Jul 2016 #37

Yep, even if they spend all day trying to influence others that Trump is a non-threat. TheBlackAdder Jul 2016 #40

People are free to spend their days how they would like. Cali_Democrat Jul 2016 #43

Does that apply to how we think DWS made things worse? ChairmanAgnostic Jul 2016 #81

Yes. You are free to believe what you want. nt Cali_Democrat Jul 2016 #82

7. There is a high probability, knowing how fickle and short-term memoried people are. TheBlackAdder Jul 2016 #6

0-1 DemonGoddess Jul 2016 #7

May you be correct and my fears unfounded. ChairmanAgnostic Jul 2016 #83

Last odds I saw were 2-1 in Clinton's favour, so 3.33. N.T. Donald Ian Rankin Jul 2016 #9

8-9. I think we're in bigger danger then we think right now. nt liberalnarb Jul 2016 #10

I'm right there with you! Runningdawg Jul 2016 #65

+1000 smirkymonkey Jul 2016 #92

I agree. Now that we know that Trump is in cahoots w/ Putin TexasBushwhacker Jul 2016 #116

About a 5. SDJay Jul 2016 #11

I'm at 2, but it might tick up to a 3 ... 1StrongBlackMan Jul 2016 #12

Even as someone who strongly supported Sanders, I am hoping that mvd Jul 2016 #17

-4. MohRokTah Jul 2016 #13

Around a 2. Regardless of polling, etc I firmly believe Trump is going to implode Godhumor Jul 2016 #14

I started today with a 0 - now I am at 9 liberal N proud Jul 2016 #15

All it takes is a "Tom Ridge Code Red" or another document dump a week before the general. TheBlackAdder Jul 2016 #20

Exactly - same. nt auntpurl Jul 2016 #21

I am worried. serbbral Jul 2016 #16

4 youceyec Jul 2016 #18

5 - A 10 danger to the country and the world IF he is elected. A 0 danger if he is not elected pampango Jul 2016 #19

10 Johnny2X2X Jul 2016 #22

Pretty concerned...watching Bernie one_voice Jul 2016 #25

9 Jack Bone Jul 2016 #26

Have you been paying attention? stopbush Jul 2016 #33

Yeppers...I heard Hillary and Bernie speak today. Jack Bone Jul 2016 #60

5-6 Blue_Tires Jul 2016 #27

Zero, and I'm still taking bets. NaturalHigh Jul 2016 #28

7 - Yesterday I signed up to be a volunteer for Clinton, the RNC motivated me to do that. RAFisher Jul 2016 #29

I know of very vew white males who will vote for Hillary Utah_liberal Jul 2016 #130

Zero. stopbush Jul 2016 #30

5 CentralMass Jul 2016 #32

8. There are a lot of stupid voters out there buying the disaster/crisis he's pedaling. Shrike47 Jul 2016 #34

10 tallahasseedem Jul 2016 #35

I was about a 2 CanonRay Jul 2016 #38

Nine. He and his nutty supporters scare the crap out of me. nt DLevine Jul 2016 #39

I would put it at about a 4. I still think that Hillary will win but the latest analysis by Nate totodeinhere Jul 2016 #41

10 Onlooker Jul 2016 #42

10. I'm worried that the Russians have more up their sleeves. This was just a test balloon to eastwestdem Jul 2016 #44

Message auto-removed Name removed Jul 2016 #119

10! Tatiana Jul 2016 #45

5 izzybella Jul 2016 #96

Welcome to DU. fleabiscuit Jul 2016 #118

Hello bigwillq Jul 2016 #124

After Bernie's feeble endorsement of Clinton/Kaine just now, I'm up to 7. (nt) Paladin Jul 2016 #46

Feeble? I am watching it now. Nothing tepid or feeble about it ChairmanAgnostic Jul 2016 #87

3. The electoral college may save us yeoman6987 Jul 2016 #47

I'm at a 7 now. I was at a 1 because I did not helpisontheway Jul 2016 #48

10 quitnesset Jul 2016 #49

I'm a 7. Celebrity is the most powerfull force in America. We elected The terminator TeamPooka Jul 2016 #50

9 - I gotta leave a hopeful point on the table aintitfunny Jul 2016 #51

7 Denis 11 Jul 2016 #52

10 nruthie Jul 2016 #53

I was a 3-after this am's Sanders Supporters, 'Lock her Up' protest-I am a 10 MichiganVote Jul 2016 #54

This is me exactly. But I wouldn't call them Sanders supporters. I'd call them Trump trolls. Squinch Jul 2016 #101

No offense but I just don't have the faith in that view that you have. MichiganVote Jul 2016 #113

None taken. Squinch Jul 2016 #114

1000 kestrel91316 Jul 2016 #55

10 oswaldactedalone Jul 2016 #56

Zero treestar Jul 2016 #57

After the response to Bernie's speech from his delegates auntpurl Jul 2016 #58

I didn't see the entire speech. Did he even say anything about them screaming "Lock her up?" glennward Jul 2016 #61

Nothing. He said "We must elect Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine" auntpurl Jul 2016 #62

10 on a good day. Vinca Jul 2016 #59

4.35 nt johnson_z Jul 2016 #63

6 - 8 katsy Jul 2016 #64

10. I don't trust der drumpfenfuhrer, and I won't breathe easy even aftr HRC is sworn in. niyad Jul 2016 #66

Seeing Trump apparently getting a bump from the dumpster fire that was the RNC? 9. Silent3 Jul 2016 #67

10 on the consequences of Trump winning. 4 on the chances. Tommy_Carcetti Jul 2016 #68

11. All leftists must hope for the best but plan for the worst. I know I am. - nt KingCharlemagne Jul 2016 #69

one Vattel Jul 2016 #70

I'm at a 10 genna Jul 2016 #71

6-7. The hard lefties haven't the intelligence to understand what OnDoutside Jul 2016 #72

Meh. About as much as I'm worried about being run over by a herd of ravenous tree sloths. Tierra_y_Libertad Jul 2016 #73

8-9 ChairmanAgnostic Jul 2016 #74

Message auto-removed Name removed Jul 2016 #75

8 mahina Jul 2016 #76

I'm not a star member right now so can't mvd Jul 2016 #97

Roger, got you. Sorry mate. mahina Jul 2016 #117

9 superpatriotman Jul 2016 #77

10 sarae Jul 2016 #78

10 apcalc Jul 2016 #79

I give it a 30% probability Loki Liesmith Jul 2016 #80

10. We live in dangerous times... vi5 Jul 2016 #84

5 citood Jul 2016 #85

3 RandySF Jul 2016 #86

8... StraightRazor Jul 2016 #88

7. Ilsa Jul 2016 #89

Poll numbers aren't reliable in this race Nedd Ludd Jul 2016 #90

Any republican has at least a 45% chance of winning Renew Deal Jul 2016 #91

100 (not a typo) Panich52 Jul 2016 #93

6 60/40 Hillary yuiyoshida Jul 2016 #94

9 workinclasszero Jul 2016 #95

0-1 mcar Jul 2016 #98

9 - Racism and Sexism Sell TomCADem Jul 2016 #99

It depends on what axis you mean mythology Jul 2016 #100

3 out of ten. much like his percentage chance of winning per nate silvers model. La Lioness Priyanka Jul 2016 #102

3 or 4 during the day, 9 or 10 around midnight emulatorloo Jul 2016 #103

10 because of the Bernie or Bust people. redstatebluegirl Jul 2016 #104

10+ doc03 Jul 2016 #105

3 Feet High and Rising Grey Lemercier Jul 2016 #106

10 Inspired Jul 2016 #107

Goose egg MrScorpio Jul 2016 #108

5.5 -- a one for low likelihood averaged with a ten for grievous consequences. Attorney in Texas Jul 2016 #109

4, used to be 1-2, but we're one "October Surprise" away from our first orange president 0rganism Jul 2016 #110

2 Dem2 Jul 2016 #111

About 5 get the red out Jul 2016 #112

I'm at mvd's level peggysue2 Jul 2016 #115

A post convention bump is pretty normal. I'm a 2. n/t cynatnite Jul 2016 #120

0, he's not winning shit. JRLeft Jul 2016 #121

7....however woolldog Jul 2016 #122

0. Capt. Obvious Jul 2016 #123

Zero. betsuni Jul 2016 #125

10 terip64 Jul 2016 #126

I'm a 10 The empressof all Jul 2016 #127

I'm at 10! Not because of the recent polls, but because way, way, too many people napi21 Jul 2016 #128

7 hollowdweller Jul 2016 #129