2016 Postmortem

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)

2. You're not nuts. Why? Because Mittens still has to work hard to get enough delegates.

Thu Jan 19, 2012, 01:09 PM

Jan 2012

Even if he wins SC, if Gingrich comes in a strong second, and he and Santorum capture the bulk of delegates together, Mittens has a problem.

The same goes for FL where I know that Mittens has the lead. Again, the same holds true.

The big problem for the "Not Romney" candidates is that they won't appear on the Tennesee or Virginia ballots, opening the door for Romney to run away.

HOWEVER...

Ron Paul could do well in those states, further cutting down the number of delegates needed to win. Or, at least making it a tough, drawn out race for Romney where he'll have to campaign further in upcoming primaries/caucuses.

Bottom line: Mittens should be locking down this nomination much quicker than he is. He isn't. And turnout is not good, neither is enthusiasm on the Republican side.

That's bad news for Mittens.

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Call me nuts, but I'm starting to get a sense... [View all] MarianJack Jan 2012 OP

I think so too Tomay Jan 2012 #1

When I think of the possibilities of a gingrich ticket,... MarianJack Jan 2012 #8

You're not nuts. Why? Because Mittens still has to work hard to get enough delegates. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #2

You're right,... MarianJack Jan 2012 #7

I don't think the pundits care if they're right or wrong in the end. VWolf Jan 2012 #3

I think that the only "right" they care about... MarianJack Jan 2012 #6

I still think that Romney will ultimately get the nomination Proud Liberal Dem Jan 2012 #4

Establishment choice does usually win,... MarianJack Jan 2012 #5

It would be pretty interesting to see Gingrich (somehow) snag the nomination Proud Liberal Dem Jan 2012 #10

I think Romney still prevails although Gingrinch is making it interesting. DCBob Jan 2012 #9

This republican primary isn't a circular firing squad,... MarianJack Jan 2012 #11

None of the remaining clowns in the GOP car have a chance against Obama. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #12

I believe that President Obama... MarianJack Jan 2012 #13

Agreed. He's done better than Clinton. That's saying a lot. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #14

Good ole Birch Bayh victoryparty Jan 2012 #15

Birch Bayh! MarianJack Jan 2012 #17

Could be Santorum in the end. AlinPA Jan 2012 #16

santorum in the end! MarianJack Jan 2012 #18