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2016 Postmortem

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agnostic102

(198 posts)
Sun Sep 18, 2016, 02:01 PM Sep 2016

How reliable is the La times/usc poll ?? [View all]

Im usually on twitter arguing with right wingers. As i feel like if you cant contribute by canvassing then the next best step is to donate and win hearts and minds online or atleast fight back agianst the attacks on hillary. Anyway was arguing with this guy and he kept claiming how the latimes daily tracking poll is showing a huge trump lead when it was tied just a week ago or so. I told him it was a bullshit poll and its not reliable and i could show him a dozen polls that show opposite.

The issue is though he claimed it was a model that the rand corporation came up with and they did it in 2012 and it was one of the most accurate polls in that election. Is this true? anyone familiar with this poll agency or model? i dont want to post the link to the poll encase it is some bs poll but wanted to get some thoughts on it by people who follow the polls and nate silver more closely then i do.

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