2016 Postmortem

Demsrule86

(71,549 posts)

40. So the polls are rigged to help Trump...just like in 2012.

Reply to democrattotheend (Reply #37)

Sun Sep 25, 2016, 12:27 PM

Sep 2016

No reason to believe this election will be like 2004 which was very close and before we got Virginia.

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So what the h*ll does this mean??? Hillary is now down AGAIN on the 538 site...... [View all] a kennedy Sep 2016 OP

Of course not. The Velveteen Ocelot Sep 2016 #1

But it doesn't make any sense Farmgirl1961 Sep 2016 #2

A new PA poll came in from Muhlenberg College BadDog40 Sep 2016 #7

Nate did some consulting work for the GOP last month. Dawson Leery Sep 2016 #3

That is not correct (n/t) PJMcK Sep 2016 #14

This is a lie oberliner Sep 2016 #24

I have concluded that too... Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #41

+1,000,000 Dawson Leery Sep 2016 #54

They added a poll that had Clinton up by 2 in PA. That's why there is a slight shift downward. SaschaHM Sep 2016 #4

No Need to Worry About Minute Shifts DarthDem Sep 2016 #5

I'm done with checking him. MFM008 Sep 2016 #6

closer poll than usual in PA Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #8

Is that just one poll or several? Farmgirl1961 Sep 2016 #9

1 poll Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #11

I sure hope so... Farmgirl1961 Sep 2016 #13

I find that so peculiar Farmgirl1961 Sep 2016 #10

It is Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #12

I sure hope that the jar doesn't have half white and half black -- I mean orange marbles! Farmgirl1961 Sep 2016 #15

if you knew the first thing about statistics, unblock Sep 2016 #51

Western PA is very conservative- they don't call it Pennsetucky bettyellen Sep 2016 #16

Yes, I know. Is that where the votes were from? Farmgirl1961 Sep 2016 #17

I'm pretty sure the statewide polls pick people spread throughout the state... bettyellen Sep 2016 #18

All of PA is not the same Kilgore Sep 2016 #30

Sorry Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #43

Washington Post just produced a bad national poll geek tragedy Sep 2016 #19

You shouldn't poll watch if it makes you nervous. LeftRant Sep 2016 #20

You shouldn't poll watch if it makes you nervous. LenaBaby61 Sep 2016 #21

You forgot to average Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #27

That's right. LenaBaby61 Sep 2016 #29

Indeed, they benefit from a close race. LeftRant Sep 2016 #22

Why do you post negative stuff about Hillary? Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #23

Bingo! Kaleva Sep 2016 #26

I remember posts sometimes. Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #38

Good catch... abetterkid Sep 2016 #34

Exactly...so sick of it... Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #39

Things often tighten like this oberliner Sep 2016 #25

Several bad polls today democrattotheend Sep 2016 #28

The odds of getting an out of sample poll are about 1/20 Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #32

You seem like a good person to ask ... Persondem Sep 2016 #35

I don't get it either Farmgirl1961 Sep 2016 #31

Chuck Todd was just talking about how Trump is doing worse among doc03 Sep 2016 #33

It doesn't make any sense to me either. LisaL Sep 2016 #36

That's what I am thinking democrattotheend Sep 2016 #37

So the polls are rigged to help Trump...just like in 2012. Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #40

Turnout model based on 2004 democrattotheend Sep 2016 #42

I disagree with you completely Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #44

I do think turnout will be very low this year. The Democrats I know doc03 Sep 2016 #47

I would also like to add that 2012 was more like 2004 than this year despite Virginia. Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #45

As a side note triron Sep 2016 #46

Ignore it and get BlueMTexpat Sep 2016 #48

I'm so sick of these 538 conspiracy theories. RAFisher Sep 2016 #49

His "details" are hand waves; his model is what I call social science "math"... Foggyhill Sep 2016 #53

This is purely a statistical model MyNameIsKhan Sep 2016 #50

It means the zombie apocalypse is about to occur La Lioness Priyanka Sep 2016 #52