2016 Postmortem

LAS14

(15,537 posts)

46. Polls only is now blue!

Reply to LAS14 (Original post)

Tue Oct 4, 2016, 08:15 PM

Oct 2016

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

49 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Ohio just went blue in 538 "now" score. [View all] LAS14 Oct 2016 OP

Yes!!!!!!! Democrats Ascendant Oct 2016 #1

What the hell is up in Ohio? Mamajami Oct 2016 #23

Gary Kasparov on ABC yesterday says Putin hacking voter databases in swing states SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2016 #32

Hillary is giving a great speech on taxes mainstreetonce Oct 2016 #2

really really good one annabanana Oct 2016 #5

Hillary is giving a great speech on taxes. LenaBaby61 Oct 2016 #11

And even Fox is carrying it!! tavernier Oct 2016 #15

And if she doesn't mention Trump... Adrahil Oct 2016 #48

it doesn't yet show up in the "polls only" forecast Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #3

I she can move her national lead to at least 4 pts, that should be enough for Ohio bluestateguy Oct 2016 #4

were there any actual Ohio polls, or is this being driven by national #s? nt geek tragedy Oct 2016 #6

You can click on the state to see what's behind the predictions. LAS14 Oct 2016 #8

yeah, but that requires effort and stuff (it's just national #s, btw-- geek tragedy Oct 2016 #10

GOTV!!!! TeamPooka Oct 2016 #7

I am. I am, brother! ffr Oct 2016 #34

Then we know florida... Joe941 Oct 2016 #9

I still don't see any new Ohio polls. Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2016 #12

If Trump keeps screwing up, I can see Alaska blue soon molova Oct 2016 #13

I think it will get even bluer once the LeBron effect kicks in. GoCubsGo Oct 2016 #14

He cannot win in any scenario without Pennsylvania. We will win it all here. nt onehandle Oct 2016 #16

I am seeing great polling numbers today for Hillary Clinton (!!!!!!!) Farmgirl1961 Oct 2016 #17

Probably not for long with today's Quinnipiac Poll giving Trump a 5-pt lead. book_worm Oct 2016 #18

back to red. geek tragedy Oct 2016 #21

Don't celebrate just yet Coolest Ranger Oct 2016 #19

Do you mean Florida? All three categories* still show Trump with a tiny lead. George II Oct 2016 #20

they had leaning blue before the Ohio poll dropped today, due to national numbers. geek tragedy Oct 2016 #22

No, I meant Ohio. It came. It went. LAS14 Oct 2016 #26

Still VERY close though, could go either way. George II Oct 2016 #27

K & R Scurrilous Oct 2016 #24

Good. I hope they can hold it. nt rivegauche Oct 2016 #25

Waiting for OH, AZ and GA to go blue zenabby Oct 2016 #28

We've got em on grouind,,,, Cryptoad Oct 2016 #29

John Boehner just ordered another double. TonyPDX Oct 2016 #30

Showing red now... but North Carolina is blue in all 3 forecasts!!! n/t ghurley Oct 2016 #31

We need to get the vote out here in Ohio! GOTV! greatlaurel Oct 2016 #33

While that's nice, PoindexterOglethorpe Oct 2016 #35

So are you rooting for the insane monster who is Trump? If so, you may be in the wrong arena. RBInMaine Oct 2016 #38

Very few Hillary signs in Ohio samplegirl Oct 2016 #36

It's flipped back to blue again! LAS14 Oct 2016 #37

It Had Better Stay Blue colsohlibgal Oct 2016 #39

The good thing about this is now the three numbers are up around 70% again or higher: George II Oct 2016 #40

On the "Now" page Iowa is close to switching, too NoGoodNamesLeft Oct 2016 #41

Now cast has Clinton up again, 52-48. George II Oct 2016 #42

And now red (actually pink) again - gone back and for four or five times since Saturday George II Oct 2016 #43

Now: Clinton 51.6, Trump 48.4. I'm getting whiplash. LAS14 Oct 2016 #44

Hate to keep doing this, but now (as of an hour ago) Ohio and Florida are blue again. George II Oct 2016 #45

Polls only is now blue! LAS14 Oct 2016 #46

All three categories on 538 now have Clinton over 300 Electoral Votes. George II Oct 2016 #47

Nationally all three numbers are above 80% probability, and Ohio has been "blue" since the weekend.. George II Oct 2016 #49