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2016 Postmortem

triron

(22,240 posts)

18. I have been bothered about something

Reply to triron (Original post)

Sun Oct 30, 2016, 01:43 PM

Oct 2016

that perhaps some DUers might spread some light on. The early vote result reported in this poll does not appear consistent with what is reported on the site of Michael McDonald: https://twitter.com/ElectProject

Perhaps many republicans and independents have early voted for HRC??

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Highlight:

***New NBC/Wall st./Marist poll in Florida has HRC up 54-37 in early vote*** [View all] triron Oct 2016 OP

But doom, gloom, everyone panic right? SaschaHM Oct 2016 #1

It's terrible. Just terrible. I don't know what the hell Dems are doing! writes3000 Oct 2016 #4

If that holds vadermike Oct 2016 #2

But some of our worrywart members are saying that flordia is a nightmare for the dems Doctor Jack Oct 2016 #3

yeah, thetrolls seem to be out in force.... getagrip_already Oct 2016 #7

Early leads, studies have shown, have the opposite effect. Arkana Oct 2016 #9

Where did you here that BULLSHIT!!!!!! bigdarryl Oct 2016 #40

Literally no piece of evidence supports that theory. Arkana Oct 2016 #8

Many trolls trolling on DU. demosincebirth Oct 2016 #38

Great news Jason1961 Oct 2016 #5

This is among 36 percent of voters MyNameIsKhan Oct 2016 #6

Your assuming there is no early voting left Foggyhill Oct 2016 #36

These are terrible Florida numbers! vdogg Oct 2016 #10

Comey's last minute lifeline to the GOP workinclasszero Oct 2016 #11

Hey, but I heard from a thread I just trashed that Trump was "winning" Florida. duffyduff Oct 2016 #13

Thank you! mcar Oct 2016 #17

I have been bothered about something triron Oct 2016 #18

I guess republicans that vote for Hillary want to get out early. LisaL Oct 2016 #19

RECENT averaging was +3 HRC, but Trump has Hortensis Oct 2016 #20

Not if you actually know anything about polling Foggyhill Oct 2016 #37

:) I know enough to not pay attention to these Hortensis Oct 2016 #39

knr triron Oct 2016 #21

K & R (be sure to scroll down) LAS14 Oct 2016 #22

Highly doubtful that's accurate since more Republicans geek tragedy Oct 2016 #23

It's entirely possible some Florida Republicans are voting for Clinton. Garrett78 Oct 2016 #24

And some Democrats are voting for Trump there. geek tragedy Oct 2016 #25

Given the trend, let's see what the early vote totals look like a few days from now. Garrett78 Oct 2016 #27

They need to build a lead of 200k geek tragedy Oct 2016 #28

Extrapolating based on the results of a previous election is problematic. Garrett78 Oct 2016 #30

It's the same every election in Florida. geek tragedy Oct 2016 #32

Also Upshot model triron Oct 2016 #29

Yeah, we simply don't know what exactly to make of the early voting numbers at this point. Garrett78 Oct 2016 #31

Upshot has Clinton losing FL almost as bad as Kerry did nt geek tragedy Oct 2016 #33

My thoughts exactly triron Oct 2016 #34

They truly are your thoughts exactly. Garrett78 Oct 2016 #35

Dec 1969 #