2016 Postmortem

andym

(6,047 posts)

16. He's angry because they are attacking his pride and joy: his model.

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 04:09 PM

Nov 2016

I suspect that the model is automated, with historical and dynamic correlation calculations baked in, but I'm not sure. Does anyone know?

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Nate silver is rage tweeting right now because people are calling [View all] SDANation Nov 2016 OP

This message was self-deleted by its author NightWatcher Nov 2016 #1

So now he is dropping F-bombs on Twitter. Must be taking advice from Trumpenstein. RBInMaine Nov 2016 #3

You didn't have that reaction when he said, Ms. Toad Nov 2016 #27

If you gotta cuss, you lost. If you ask me. nt SusanCalvin Nov 2016 #56

He's frustrated I think sharp_stick Nov 2016 #5

Nate is getting a little more abuse than he should Cosmocat Nov 2016 #6

Well if you read Ryan Grim's original article, it does bring across some very good points MyNameIsKhan Nov 2016 #8

I was ready to give Nate the benefit of the doubt... Chichiri Nov 2016 #10

His defensiveness maybe because his model never anticipated what is happening: BlueStreak Nov 2016 #19

I would get off his case he may be right nobody knows until the actual votes are counted. doc03 Nov 2016 #11

In your dreams it is a "tossup." duffyduff Nov 2016 #18

Well, that's the thing. Nate's been right and has come to think his rightness means.... Moonwalk Nov 2016 #35

And, he WAS completely wrong about Trump in the primaries, so his skin is thin now. manicraven Nov 2016 #53

His arguments for his models having higher uncertainty do seem plausible andym Nov 2016 #12

You can't base anything on previous elections. That is why he will likely be seen as full of it. duffyduff Nov 2016 #22

This bothers me, "He uses polling data going back to 1972." manicraven Nov 2016 #57

He Has Been Attacked Before The Great Escape Nov 2016 #13

Makes you wonder why. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #33

Eh, leave the man alone Dem2 Nov 2016 #15

Not attacking he man personally, but his results... Those are questionable. manicraven Nov 2016 #59

I've been posting some of the bizarre illogical adjustments for several days now Dem2 Nov 2016 #60

He's angry because they are attacking his pride and joy: his model. andym Nov 2016 #16

The problem is he nudged the numbers for no reason. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #34

The article doesn't say that he changed the numbers for "no reason" andym Nov 2016 #38

He trolls Sam wang? SDANation Nov 2016 #20

I think it is reflective of the general jitteriness that any American with a firing synapse has to hlthe2b Nov 2016 #21

I generally trust Nate ... LenaBaby61 Nov 2016 #24

His prediction numbers have actually helped democrats panic enough to get out bushisanidiot Nov 2016 #25

Some folks drive me nuts. Adrahil Nov 2016 #26

That really is not the point. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #32

According to Harry Enten.... Adrahil Nov 2016 #39

Wang and Silver were close about a week ago. No longer. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #41

Far too many people lose it when they read or hear anything that doesn't conform to their politics tymorial Nov 2016 #37

I agree. Adrahil Nov 2016 #40

538 deserves the criticism. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #30

Silver's explanation as to why 538 is more bullish toward Trump... Garrett78 Nov 2016 #45

Silver is facing competition for the first time. geek tragedy Nov 2016 #43

The guy is in meltdown mode... nt. Blue Idaho Nov 2016 #46

Talking about kneeing people in the balls? budkin Nov 2016 #49

He has Clinton at 65% Capt. Obvious Nov 2016 #50

Yeah guess you're right. budkin Nov 2016 #55

He's getting grief because his results vastly differ from 4 other highly regarded pollsters. AgadorSparticus Nov 2016 #52

I agree... manicraven Nov 2016 #62

Well, he needs to knock it off. SusanCalvin Nov 2016 #54

The Cubs knocked him off his stride kurt_cagle Nov 2016 #61

If he projected that HRC would lose by a landslide I'd be all good if it were an objective analysis. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #65

This personage, and whatever he does treestar Nov 2016 #71

Dec 1969 #